Global Warming has become a major issue in politics and business. There is a growing consensus that the huge changes that are taking place in the World Climate is caused by the emission of CO2. There are scientists who are telling a different story. They are convinced that the change in climate is caused by the Sun.
The activity of the Sun is controlled by many cycles. The shortest cycles has a periodicity of 2X11 years. At this moment the Sun is at the end of its 11-year-cycle and very passive. The 11-year cycle is part of a longer term cycle with a periodicity of 1500 years. Between 1645 and 1715 (the Little Ice Age) a few sunspots were seen on the Sun’s surface. At that time the Earth was very cold.
Over the past few hundred years, there has been a steady increase in the numbers of sunspots, a trend that has accelerated in the past century, just at the time when the Earth has been getting warmer. Scientists predict a new Sun cycle in which the Sun, just as in the Little Ice Age, will be very passive.
When we look at the very long term we find a cycle that determinates the distance between the Sun and the Earth. The distance is dependent on the shape of the orbit (circle, oval), the angle of the axis and the rotation (the precession) of the Earth around its axis. According to this cycle we also will be cooling down the next 17.000 years.
If all the cycles and the increase of Co2 are combined in one statistical model the conclusion is very clear. The influence of human activity is “nothing” compared to the cycles in Nature.
Russian Scientist found a relationship between Global Warming (The Increase of CO2) and Ice Ages.
The increase of CO2 always happens when an Ice Age appears.
I am reading about the Climate-issue for many years now. I have gathered an enormous amount of documents and web links. To me the whole issue is still very complex and this bothers me.
My feeling is that until we find something that “explains it all” we will go on with starting actions that can be counter-productive or worse will keep the majority of people in a very passive state.
What I feel now is “the Al Gore will take care of us”-effect. Just “paint everything green” and we will move to the next issue. The smart experts will solve our problems just like they have solved our problems before.
Perhaps the activity of the Sun is not explaining everything but it is a simple model.
Perhaps the CO2-effect is important. I am not against the creation of “clean” technology.
I am very happy that Nature is again on the political agenda. I don’t think many people understand that Nature is not only something we have to take care of. Nature is also a Force that takes care of itself!
I don’t believe a model that explains the Climate Change by external factors will create a state of passivity.
I think an external factor model will even have the opposite effect.
When we are unable to handle the Cause we have to react on the Effect.
If Global (Warming or) Cooling is a unavoidable fact of life we have to do something completely different. We really have to think “out of the box”.
Imagine what will happen when the Nothern Part of the Earth, the Centre of Western Civilization, will cool down within a few years?
I want to end with a Prophesy of the Hopi’s. They predited a new Solar Cycle long ago called the Sixth Sun.
“When the end is near, we will see a halo of mist around the heavenly bodies. Four times it will appear around the sun as a warning that we must reform, telling us that people of all color must unite and arise for survival, and that we must uncover the causes of our dilemmas. Unless man made weapons are used to strike first, peace will then come. So the time will come when we will experience late springs and early frosts, this will be the sign of the returning Ice Age.”