Van Inspraak naar Feedback

Woerdense burgers komen in opstand tegen het stadsbestuur.
Kunnen we binnenkort Alice (de Zorgrobot) voor ons laten Participeren omdat zij precies weet wat onze Voorkeuren zijn?. Wist U dat Alice bij het communiceren gebruik maakt van het PoC-model?

In deze blog toon ik aan dat Inspraak eigenlijk een een vorm van Feedback is op het OntwikkelProces van een Overheid.

Om die Feedback te kunnen Waarderen moet het OtwikkelProces van de overheidOrganisatie wel voldoen aan het criterium First Time Right of andere vormen van Lean Six Sigma.

Lean heeft als uitgangspunt dat je alle Verspilling moet verwijderen door een proces te Stroomlijnen.Lean resulteert daardoor vanzelf in een Duurzaam proces.

De Lean-Cyclus volgt de DMAIC-cyclus : Define (Wat wil je Oplossen), Measure (Quantificeer het probleem) Analyse (Wat is de Oorzaak van het probleem), IMprove (Hoe ga je het probleem Oplossen), Control (Hoe Bestendig je de oplossing).

Leeswijzer:

Ik schreef deze blog in stappen waarbij ik iedere keer een hoofdstuk toevoegde en de nieuwe informatie weer terugkoppelde op de vorige hoofdstukken. Dit is de definitieve versie.

Hfdst 1 en 2: de Praktijk van de Inspraak met Leiden als voorbeeld.

Hfdst 3: de Omgevingswet als voorbeeld van hoe je Inspraak Niet moet regelen.

Hfdst 4: Veranderings-processen in het algemeen met Paths of Change (PoC) als Generiek model.

Hfdst 5: PoC toegepast op de Omgevingswet en de Overheid als Strict Father.

Hfdst 6: Emoties en het Verander Proces.

Hfdst 7: Synchronisatie . Hoe groepen mensen in trance gaan waardoor ze makkelijk te programmeren zijn.

Hfdst 8: Over Ontwikkelprocessen, Engineering en de rol die een Schap (Scape) speelt.Het onderwerp hier is Meta-Engineering zie hier voor een preview.

Hfdst 9: Gebruikers participatie en Engineering. Voorbeelden van software t.b.v. de Omgvingswet en de Vraag of je Participatie kunt Automatiseren.

Hfdst 10: Het Einde, een korte Samenvatting en de Start van een nieuwe blog over”echte” Representatieve Democratie.

0. Introductie

Deze blog gaat over het falen en slagen van (burger-)participatie.

Herbij wordt de gemeente Leiden als voorbeeld gebruikt.

De gemeente Leiden is een van de vele gemeenten in Nederland die last heeft van de Inspraak van haar inwoners.

De Leidse Inwoners voelen zich gebruikt en de Ambtenaren en hun bazen (de Wethouders) vinden de inwoners veel te kritisch en denken dat ze het nooit goed doen.

Er van Uitgaande dat de Oorzaak ligt in de Wijze Waarop het Participatie proces plaatsvindt wordt in deze Blog een Simpele Oplossing geboden.

Inspraak kun je niet Regelen maar moet je Faciliteren.

Hierbij kun je gebruik maken van de Gezichtspunten (“Worldview” , Point of View, PoV)) van Paths of Change (PoC).

UIt de analyse van Hfdst5 blijkt dat er twee PoV’s ontbreken n.l. (1): Verbeelding (Geel, iNtuitive in Jung) en (2):Emoties (Groen, Feeling, in Jung).

Verbeelding<->Emoties vormen het proces=Spel) van Faciliteren, of The Game that Creates Games (de Infinite Game van J.P. Carse).

In onderstaande Verordening wordt de Leidse inspraak geregeld. Het dokument erna bevat de resultaten van een onderzoek naar de problemen.

Hierbij moet worden opgemerkt dat de vertegenwoordigers van de inwoners (i.h.a. wijkverenigingen) overtuigd zijn dat de gemeente het rapport heeft gemanipuleerd wat past in het bestaande beeld.

Belangrijke onderwerpen in de verordening zijn Bestuursorgaan, Belang, (Wie) en de Wijze waarop (Hoe) de inspraak kan plaatsvinden zijnde: informatie geven, raadplegen, adviseren, coproduceren en meebeslissen.

1. Stand van Zaken Leiden

1.1 De Regels van het Spel

1.2 Een Evaluatie van het Spelen

2. Analyse

2. Een eerste Analyse

2.1 Het Ontwikkel-Proces

De Participatie maakt deel uit van een Ontwikkelproces dat bestuurd wordt door een Bestuursorgaan waarbij Belanghebbenden een rol krijgen toebedeeld die gevolgen ondervinden van het beoogde Resultaat (Doel) van het 0nt-Werpproces.

2.2 De Casus van het Winkelcentrum

Een voorbeeld (zie casus in Rapport Platform31) is het Renoveren (Wat) van een Winkelcentrum in een wijk met ongeveer 15.000 inwoners (Waar)

In dit geval komen de opgesomde stappen (Hoe) en de betrokken partijeen (Wie) allemaal aan de orde.

De Eigenaar Coproduceert , de bewoners van de wijk spelen de rol van Consument en de bewoners van de aanpalende flats zijn Belanghebbenden omdat de eigenaar een hoge flat wil bouwen om de kosten van de verbouw te compenseren.

De gemeente plaatst de participatie in het kader van de nog niet ingevoerde omgevingswet en levert een inspraak-cooordinator die is ingehuurd van een extern buro.

Uiteindelijk wordt de hoge flat een onderwerp waaruit een enorm Conflict ontstaat waardoor de hele wijk (door de wijkvereniging) wordt betrokken. Dit conflict legt het hele proces stil en beinvloedt zelfs de gemeenteraads-verkiezingen.

Het object van het Conflict, een Torenhoge Flat in het wijkPark.

Inmiddels (Okt 2021) heeft de gemeente (en de projectontwikkelaar) zijn zin door weer een nieuwe begeleider te introduceren en de belangrijke besluiten slim door de gemeenteraad te loodsen.

Ondertussen is de Gemeente in dezelfde wijk ook bezig om een warmtenet door te drukken dat doet men door een z.g. betaalde (lees gesubsidieerde) bewoners-vertegenwoordiging op te richten waarin zelfs een medewerker van Vattenfal (de leverancier van de warmte) de voorzitter was.

3. Stand van Zaken Omgevingswet

De Omgevingswet is in 2012 bedoeld om alle bestaande wetten en regels die betrekking jebben de inrichting van het landschap op te laten gaan in één wet. Daardoor vervallen straks de Mijnbouwwet, de Tracéwet, de Monumentenwet, de Spoedwet wegverbreding, de Wet ruimtelijke ordening en nog 21 andere wetten.

De wet moet de bureaucratie m.b.t. het aanvragen van vergunningen (inclusief toezicht en handhaving) terugdringen en de burger voorzien van “slimme” (3D)-hulpmiddelen.

Zoals zo vaak zijn deze hulpmiddelen nog niet klaar en zijn de gemeenten min of meer experimenteel bezig met de wet wat tot grote verwarring lijdt.

Het ligt nu in de bedoeling om de wet in 1922 (10 jaar later) in te voeren. Het is de grote vraag of dit lukt,

De omgevingswet is eigenlijk ook het instrument om de Participatie van de burger zowel heen (eigen plannen) als terug (Plannen van de overheid) op een “slimme” wijze te regelen.

Een hele korte samenvatting van de omgevingswet.
Processchema Omgevingswet.

4. Het Verander-Proces volgens Paths of Change

Paths of Change (PoC) is uit-gevonden door Will McWhinney.

PoC blijkt duizenden jaren oud te zijn en wordt door Will McWhinney verklaart uit z.g Worldviews (Wereldbeelden, Gezichtspunt)een manier waarop mensen tijdens een verandering naar de wereld kunnen kijken (waarnemen, denken (waarheid), zien (inzicht, waargeven), voelen, waarderen).

Een Verandering is een Cyclus die vaak in dezelfde Volgorde wordt doorlopen.

Er blijken maar 4 (2×2) wereldbeelden te bestaan (vergelijkbaar met de Archetypen van Jung). die in een veranderproces vaak in dezelfde volgorde een rol spelen.

Ieder wereldbeeld is een unieke combinatie van twee bewegingen n.l. Compressie (Yang, Mannelijk, versimpelen, tot stilstand brengen) en expansie (Yin, Vrouwelijk , uitdijen, laten groeien) waardoor de combinatie vaak wordt getypeerd met “Ademen” (vgl. de Cosmic Breath).

De wereldbeelden komen ook voor in vrijwel alle Persoonlijkheidstheorieen. Dit verklaart waarom bepaalde mensentypen (Uitvinders, makers,..) in de zelfde fase van een verandering (bijv. een project) een rol spelen.

In de Psychologie worden Yin en Yang Agency en Communion genoemd.

Een persoonlijkheid is een combinatie van twee wereldbeelden.

Een veranderproces is succesvol als het rond heeft gedraaid langs 4 verschillende wereldbeelden, waarbij dat draaien met en/of tegen de klok kan gaan of door het midden (via het Kruis).

De meest complexe beweging is een z.g. Moebius ring (lijkt op 8).

Hierna volgen een aantal plaatjes met toepassingen van PoC.

Veranderpaden kunnen 2 PoV (Point of View) bevatten maar ook 4. Een 2-draai noemt Will een Game (Spel). Renaissance is een voorbeeld van een grote verandering (“Wedergeboorte”) die meer dan 2 , soms 4 of meer, stappen behelst.

Een wereldbeeld is een combinatie van twee krachten.

.

Hier zijn de kruispaden zichtbaar die betrekking hebben op Politiek (Sociaal <-> Wetten) en Ondernemen (van Idee <-> Actie.

a PoC-model of the Production & Consuption Cyles with related Communities. Het veranderpad hier is een Moebius Ring.
Een PoC-model van een Stad (Den Haag).
Een model van een stad waarin PoC op zizchzelf wordt toegepast. (PoCxPoC).Het model in 2×2 staat hierboven.

5. De OmgevingsWet als Verander-Proces: De Overheid als Strenge Vader

Wat het eerste opvalt is dat zowel het wereldbeeld “VerbeeldingGeel, “Mythic in PoC en INtuitive bij Jung als “Emotie“, Groen, Social in PoC, Feeling bij Jung, vrijwel geen rol speelt.

De overheid speelt het Analytische Spel en denkt niet in termen van Verbeteren of Innovatie.

Alles is aan Regels gebonden en die regels worden niet eens geevalueerd.

De Burger is een Speelbal in het het spel en kan niets zeggen omdat hij stom (doof), dom of ondeskundig is.

De Overheid is de Strict Father van de Republikeinen en zeker niet de Nurturing Mother van de Democraten.

Hieronder een college van George Lakoff die de “uitvinder” is van de theorie dat het Denken in het Lichaam zit (Embodiment) en dat we bij het denken gebruik maken van gebruik maken van (Lichaams-) Metaforen.

6 Emoties en het Veranderproces

In de casus van hfdst 2.2. kun je zien hoe een verandering tot een groot conflict lijdt. De corona-crisis is zo’n voorbeeld.

Het blijft mogelijk om zo’n conflict om te buigen naar een Opstand door de oorzaak van de gebeurtenis te reframen, in een andere Metafoor te plaatsen, bijv. de (war-)metafoor van de “Common Enemy“.

Onderstaande plaatjes laten zien Hoe een mens (volgens Kubler Ross) op een dramatische gebeurtenis (“een calamiteit”) reageert die grote invloed kan hebben op het leven(bijv. het sterven van een partner of een aardbeving).

Na een snelle cyclus van meestal onbewust Analyseren en Waarderen volgt een Ontkenning en het produceren van veel en heftige emoties (passie) waarna men op den duur tot Inzicht komt en weer stabiliseert.

Ik hoop dat het opvalt dat hier ook een PoC-cyclus wordt gedraaid.

Mensen draaien iedere dag een PoC-cyclus die correleert met de Zon (Vader) en de nacht (Maan, Moeder). De Dag-Nacht-cylus (2 Zon<->Maan)) was vroeger van enorme symbolische waarde net als de 4 (2×2) Seizoenen en de Sterrencyclus van de Zodiac en de Precessie die ook van Licht (Kerstmis) naar Donker (Halloween) gaat.

In het 2e plaatje wordt inzichtelijk gemaakt dat de mens een set-point heeft, een gemiddelde staat van zijn waar men op den duur weer in terecht komt. Het Set-point zit in het Kruis bij PoC. Het kruispunt staat voor het Bewustzijn dat altijd in het midden van het midden zit.

De mens zit via zijn bewustzijn aan zijn eigen kruis genageld.

7. Over Synchronisatie

Mensen synchroniseren als ze gelijk zijn of gelijk worden gemaakt. Dat kan door ze op een gedeeld onderwerp te focussen.

Een verliefd stel is gesynchroniseerd maar ook het publiek van een voetbalwedstriijd is gesynchroniseerd.

Een gesynchroniseerde groep mensen gedraagt zich als 1 persoon en kan ook makkelijk in trance worden gebracht waardoor ze kunnen worden geprogrammeerd.

Het conflict met het winkelcentrum in hfdst 2.2 is een voorbeeld van synchronisatie waarbij het idee van een enorme kolos, de flat, in een prachtig “eigen” park fungeerde als focal point.

8. Over Engineering:

brown wooden dock
A (land)scape with a Horizon.

Een schap is een Plank (een 2D-model) waarop we wat we weten netjes neerzetten en waarbij de Horizon de grens is van het nu onbereikbare.

We beschouwen onze buitenwereld door een vierkant Raam (Kader) of tekenen een model op een Vierkant papier.

De Driehoek bestaat uit Vier Driehoeken in de Tetra Logica van Collin (Collective Intelligentie). Collin is het resultaat van een langdurige activiteit van de TU Delft om het vakgebied Engineering te verbeteren. Collin lijkt erg veel op PoC.

Collaborative Learning contains 4 connected Cycles connected in a 4-fold Cycle. The )sub-cycles) operate in a Whole (white being) a Space-Time, a Social Context, a Mental Space and a Physical Space. This model is an application of one level of Paths of Change.

Collaborative Learning is een ontwikkel-aanpak gebaseerd op PoC die ik samen met Baan Company heb ontwikkeld en is terug te vinden in hun software-ontwikkel-systeem Cordys (Hart).

Cordys is een implementatie van BPML een standaard om Businees Processen te definieren.

BPML is uitgebouwd naar V/DML Value Delivery Modelling Language. Hierme kun je waarde-ketens specificeren.

Hierboven een recente promotie waarin Collin een belangrijke rol speelt.

In de ontwikkeling van Collin hebben grote Nederlandse Bouw-en Infrastructuur bedrijven een rol gespeeld. Bijzonder maar begrijpelijk is dat ze Collin niet gebruiken.

Dat komt omdat deze bedrijven veel geld verdienen aan fouten maken. Collin streeft naar First Time Right.

Volgens Roger Schank leren mensen van de fouten (“Expectation-Failures) van anderen.

Kennis is uitgekristallisserde ervaring en ervaring is overgedragen fouten en hun oplossing (“zie lotgenoot contacten).

In de huidige maatschappij wordt er veel te veel waarde gehecht aan kennis en wordt een theorie bijna nooit in de praktijk getest maar wordt de praktijk juist aan de theorie aangepast.

wat aanleiding geeft tot enorme mislukkingen waar met name de overheid erg veel last van heeft omdat tegenspraak wordt gezien als opstand tegen het gezag.

De beste manier om aan de slag te gaan is doo reen community of practice op te richten.

Kent Palmer is de Amerikaanse variant van Leo Ruijven. Hij heeft als gevolg van een opdracht van de Amerikaanse Regering(het Leger) om de Engineeering te verbeteren, Schema Theorie ontwikkeld.

https://slideplayer.com/slide/734360/ (Een presentatie over Schema Theory van Kent Pslmer) . Kent heeft zich vooral druk gemaakt over het Meta-Model een model wat het model beschrijft.

Het meta-proces is het proces van het Abstraheren wat eindeloos door kan gaan zowel omhoog als omlaag. Het “hoogste” model gaat over het Universum en het “laagste” model gaat over de Grondslag die de Wiskunde is.

Een schema is een abstractie van een stappenplan dat handmatig door de mens maar ook deels of geheel door verschillende soorten machines kan worden uitgevoerd. Hierbij speelt de huidige computer een rol maar die is weer geabstraheerd in een Turing Machine. De omgevingswet is een voorbeeld van een poging om ontwikkelprocessen te automatiseren.

De essentie van Collin zit in het (slim) registreren van de documentatie van de voortgang van een project zodat het altijd duidelijk is waarom een besluit is genomen maar ook welke kennis (en ervaring) er is opgebouwd. Het moet altijd mogelijk zijn om zowel vooruit als achteruit te gaan in het proces. Collin hecht ook veel waarde aan reflexie. Het model achter Collin, het meta-model, past net als PoC in een viervoudige Geometrie.

Tetra360

9. Engineering en Gebruikers Participatie

9.1. Voorbeelden Software voor de Omgevingswet

Dit is een video over software van één van de vele Leveranciers (Centric) die software leveren voor het z.g. DSO (Digitale Samenwerkingsomgeving) Voor de Omgevingswet.

De software bevat niets om de burgerparticipatie tc.q. ontwikkelprocessen te ondersteunen . Het biedt eigenlijk alleen een (ouderwets) workflow-systeem dat burocratische processen kan besturen waar bijv. vergunningen worden aangevraagd. Centric staat bekend om zijn slechte kwaliteit software.
Dit is een video over het z.g. regelbeheer wat een onderdeel moet zijn van het DSO van de Omgevingswet.

Be Informed is gespecialisserd in regelgestuurde software. Die is enorm complex vooral omdat niet viedereen een proces kan omzetten in regels.

Momenteel zijn er verschillende digitale loketten voor onder andere het aanvragen van vergunningen, het doen van meldingen en het inzien van de van toepassing zijnde regels.

M.bv. Regelbeheer kunnen initiatiefnemers, overheden en belanghebbenden snel en eenvoudig inzien wat er is Toegestaan in de Fysieke leefomgeving.

9.2. Kun je Participatie Automatiseren?

Hieronder een aantal plaatjes die laten zien hoe je “systemen” die een Mens of Organisme voorstellen aan elkaar kunt koppelen d.m.v een input->output-opslag relatie vroeger getypeerd als een Dataflow-Diagram (DFD).

Business Analysis tools, Data Flow diagram in Sparx Systems Enterprise Architect

De opslag is de “Grootste Gemene /Deler” van de input en de output. in de loop der tijd is de input een User Interface (Scherm) geworden en de Opslag een Database (later in een Cloud . De output was eerst op papier maar is nu ook op een Scherm. Daarnaast is de Flow afgebeeld op een Data-Communicatie-Netwerk.

De mens is nu uitsluitend gekoppeld aan een scherm (met zijn vingers) ook al kunnen er ook meer complexe interactiemechanismen worden gebruikt zoals een 3D-Bril gekoppeld aan een Bewegings-machine zoals een Flight-Simulator.

Zicht vanuit een van de realistisch weergegeven cockpits in Flight Simulator. Beeld Microsoft

Een ander voorbeeld is een Simulator zoals Sym City waarbij door middel van constraints (beperkingsregels) een stads-mechaniek (model) in werking kan worden gezet. Een moderne vorm van een stadsimulator wordt een Digital Twin genoemd.

Digital Twin city

Een Digital Twin, een Virtuele testomgeving waar innovatieve ideeën getest kunnen worden.

Het moet mogelijk zijn om een Agent zo te programmeren (mbv AI) dat hij/zij de mens kan nadoen in een participatie-project. De Agent kan in 2D of 3D een mens compleet nadoen.

Is dit wenselijk of makkelijk?

De robot is een nagemaakte mens. In dit plaatje zijn alle functies van de mens omgezet naar bestaande software-twchnologie
Twee Poc-Cycli waarin de Blauwe een Ecologie is (zie Panarchie) gekoppeld aan een of meerdere Organismen gemodelleerd als een Agent.
Vier gekoppelde Agents waarbij iedere agent een ander Wereldbeeld draagt.
Een cyclusgenarator gebaseerd op PoC en de Chinese Cheng Cyclus.

10.Samenvatting

Het concept Participatie betekent Mee Mogen Doen en gaat uit van een achterhaalde taakverdeling tussen De OVERheid gerepresenteerd door de Koning en de ONDERdanen die hun Vertegenwoordigers hebben gekozen in de 2e kamer een voorstation van de 1e kamer waarin de Edelen, de Vazalen van de koning zitting haden.

Een Representatie zou een afspiegeling van de burgers moeten zijn maar is dat niet omdat een bepaald type mens de Politicus die rol in een parlement ambieert en daarna zijn of haar eigen gang gaat.

Vele andere persoonlijkheidstypen hebben een hele ander kijk op de wereld en vinden het allemaal wel best totdat ze met het resultaat worden geconfronteerd.

We leven in een totaal andere tijd dan toen de Democratie werd bedacht die het mogelijk maakt om iedereen direct invloed te geven mits de processen daartoe zijn ingericht.

De omgevingswet gaat in die richting maar heeft nog erg veel last van de oude wereld die overal in de geautomatiseerde processen zijn kop op steekt.

Deze blog is de weerslag van veel ervaring met hele grote veranderingtrajecten soms op zowel technisch als sociaal nivo.

Paths of Change (PoC) kwam in 1997 als mosterd na de maaltijd toen ik net een eigen pad in was gegaan wat mij nog steeds bevalt.

Ik ben een INFP in de typering van Myers Brigss. Mijn type, de is zeer zeldzaam net als andere zaken (Bloedgroep, Ouders, Loopbaan): “The INFP personality type is often described as an “idealist” or “mediator” personality. People with this kind of personality tend to be introverted, idealistic, creative, and driven by high values. INFPs also have strong interests in making the world a better place“.

Ik hoop dat we met behulp van de vele hulpmiddelen die er aankomen er een “echte” representatieve democratie van kunnen mkaken.

In een volgene Blog zal ik verder ingaan op de wijze waarop er een “echte” representatieve democratie kan worden ingericht.

Zie deze Blog als een schot voor de boeg.

Featured

About the Ecology of the City & the State

About the Observer

The Crown Chakra (Observer) of the World , Mt Shasta, California

The last chapter of this blog is put into a new blog that contains a lot of links that are about the fusion of Quantum Mechanics and “old” theories of Physics. This fusion proves that we are living in the Matrix.

This blog is an Extension of the last chapter of my blog about the Future of the State. In this blog I come to the conclusion that the State or the City-state makes The Rich Richer and the Poor poorer.

The main reason is that the State is an Aristocracy that looks like a Democracy.

The State is a Contradictio in terminis: It accomplishes the Opposite it wants to accomplish.

The main reason is that the managers of the state believe in controlling everything instead of Self-Organization (P-Anarchy).

As you will later see in this blog this effect is the result of Dualism which is the foundation of Current Science. This problem is solved in Complexity Science, the Subject of this Blog.

I have transformed the last chapter of this blog into a new blog. called The Geometry of Change.

This blog is not a scientific article but a collage that contains many intellectual surprises.

Four Cycles that are Agents are connected by the Sensory Mode of PoC. See Chapter 4. Yellow: Imagination; Blue: Thinking; Red Sensory Moter System. This system uses “sensors” to get into Action; Green: Emotions; This chain becomes an “infinite” chain when the direction of the rotation (against- or with the clock) is not reversed. THe direction of the rotation is reversed when the direction one of the “games” is reversed. An example is the so called “analytic game” (blue->red (make) -> (red-blue (analyze).

This picture prepares you for Chapter 1: Cycles where I show you that Life is a Cyclic process and that many other processes are cyclic. This has to do with the many Rotating systems there are. The four colors represent the many static views on cyclic processes. Agents are the object of Complexity Theory.
When Agents are seen as the cause of an effect on another Agent they are called an Event or seen as a living being.

Observe that the agents are rotating With and Against the Clock. A combination of both is a Moebius Ring (looks like 8).

A good example of a Rotating System is the Weather System. This system rotates because the Earth and the Moon Rotate . In this picture you can see the Potential, the Sum of the entering Radiation Energy of the Sun and the Reflection on Earth. Earth rotates once in about 24 hours with respect to the Sun, Earth’s rotation is slowing slightly with time; This is due to the tidal effects the rotating Moon has on Earth’s rotation.

The climate of the earth fluctuates because of the many stages the cycles are in. We are now in a local warming period but it looks like we are moving to a new ice-age.

this Blog discusses a Design for an Alternative of he City and/or the State based on the idea that they are an Ecology. An Ecology Dies when there is not enough Diversity. The same applies to a City or a State. You are diverse when you are Different.

For more info about what an Ecology is see Chapter 3. Below you can see the Design.

The Monitor (the Observer, the X in the Middle of the Cross) takes care of the Balance in the City/ or State.Its task is to prevent that one of the Views on the World becomes Dominant. This view is probably the “Management Control View” (Blue, Smart City) ). The Control View is the view of Reductionism. Reductionism is the paradigm behind current Science.

The monitor represents the Whole which is the subject of Complexity Science. Complexity theory, emphasizes adaptation, self‐organization and embraces the idea that there is no central control or master plan.

As you can see the Monitor shares the same Structure with the Whole. This is called a Fractal. The Fractal pattern never stops . It could stop when the structure is too Small.

The Set-Point is the desired value for an essential variable that represents the Homeostasis of the City/State.

About Rotating Rotations

Cycles are everywhere. They are the result of Rotating systems.
The Kubler Ross Transition Curve. The Kubler Ross model shows how people react after a major calamity (Like the COVID Pandemia) after Denial people get Angry , move into a Depression and get an Insight after the situation moves back to the Set Point. Observe that this model is the same model as Paths of Change.
This is a Rotating Cycle Generator based on the model of PoC (Paths of Change ( see Chapter.4. In this picture you can See that every Step in the Cycle represents another State of the 5-pointed Model that represents possible Points of View. Every combination of Points of View (PoV) represents an Action. Every rotation represents an E-motion. The 5-pointed model is based on the Chinese Sheng-Cycle hat was based om the Lo-Shu a 3×3 Magic Square that has the 5 in the Middle and a sum of 15=1+2+3+4+5=3×5 .

Observe that the Wheel of Time is propagating itself by exploding at the right moment just like a motor . This explosion is the Fusion of the Aha-erlebnis, the Feeling of Discovery.

Observe that the 5th view is called Whole (white). It is the center of the system (Monitor) put into the System itself. Putting a whole in a whole is called a fractal.

The Spiritual Cycle of Walter Russell. In the middle the Singularity.
The Sheng Cycle with an inner- and outer cycle showing the fractal pattern of the five in the middle . The 5 states are related to the Sun Cycle with a special Season in the Middle of the 5 sometimes called Late Summer, Indian Summer or the Autumn of the Geese. Observe that the five seasons are not only connected in a Mother->Childchain(1>2->3->4->5->1->) but are also connected with a delay of (2) called the Mother->Grandmother-chain (1>3>5>2>4->1->).

About Ancient Civilizations

In this short introduction I show you the very rich knowledge of Ancient Civilizations that already existed > 620.00 BC. They contain the roots of the concept of the state but also of the many conflicts we are totally not aware of that are now hidden behind the walls of Religion.

The Geometrie of Creation. The geometries are used as frames to draw the letters of the Alphabet..
Rudolf Laban Space Harmony -The letters are represented by (geometric) pPatterns movements and sounds. They are the Foundation of the old Cultures on earth. The old cultures give us insight in the ways the State and the cities were Organized. In their organization the Ancient patterns play an important role.
A briljant Librarian Kim Veltman researched all the Symbol-Sytems on earth starting 620.000 BC. Sadly he died 1-4-2020.

This blog starts with a few pictures and links to related articles about Urban Ecologies and some quotes and interesting video’s about Complexity Science which is the Toolset I try to Use in this blog.

About Urban Ecologies

The models of Urban Ecologies are Control/Cybernetic Systems.

After the models I explain what Complexity Science is about using two PDF’s, 2 citations and a video of Stuart Kaufman, Nassim Taleb and Robert Sapolski.

After the video’s I present a List of Chapters with a short description of the content of the chapters and Chapter 0: Introduction which is the “real” beginning of this blog .

If you are in a hurry move to Chapter 16.

Article about PLE: The concept of production–living–ecological (PLE) space was first proposed in the report of the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China. It stressed that “the space for production should be intensive and highly efficient, the living space should be moderately liveable, and the ecological space should be unspoiled and beautiful.
the Article investigates the Principles of Sustainable Urban Ecosystems and pillars for sustainability, from the Micro-level to the Global level.
The system of Urban Metabolism.

About Complexity Science:

Complexity Science is not about the Parts but about the Whole. The Notes are not the Music played with the notes. The Meal is not the recipe. The City is not its Citizens

The basic components of a complex adaptive systems are called agents. They are typically conceived as ‘black box’ systems, meaning that we know the rules that govern their individual behaviour, but we do not care about their internal structure.

Stuart Kaufmann: Reinventing the Sacred: The science of complexity moves beyond reductionism to something new: a unified culture where we see God in the creativity of the universe, biosphere, and humanity – changing the way we all think about the evolution of humanity, the universe, faith, and reason.

Nassim Taleb:“We have the illusion that the world functions thanks to programmed design, university research, and bureaucratic funding, but there is compelling — very compelling — evidence to show that this is an illusion.  Technology is the result of antifragility, exploited by risk-takers in the form of tinkering and trial and error.  Engineers and tinkerers develop things while history books are written by academics; we will have to refine historical interpretations of growth, innovation, and many such things. … The error of naive rationalism leads to overestimating the role and necessity of … academic knowledge, in human affairs — and degrading the uncodifiable, more Complex, intuitive, or experience-based type”.

This is an example of the PoC-cycle (see chapter 4 ) where you can see what Nassim Taleb means.He believes in Intuition, Active Experimentation and Cocncrete Experience both a Kolb Learning Style.
About Stuart Kaufmann: Intuition (Insight, Yellow) is related to Creativity and the Holy Spirit different from God the Father.

A Poc-Cycle is a Fourfold Cycle with or without a Center in the Cross in de Middle.

This picture contains a summary of all the chapters of this blog until 27 10 2020 in a Path of Change (A fractal 4-fold-Cycle). It shows that Anti-Fragility Fuses Differences and jumps to a Higher Level of the Ecology (also a 4-fold cycle (within the Circles) with a new Rythm until the Ecology relapses and stores its Seeds in a new Territory where Cooperation is possible.
Observe that the Greek word for Power is Cratos being a part of DemoCracy, Power to the People (Green, Social, Cooperation).
In this picture the arrow is from People(Social, Green) to Power (Ranking) meaning “Priority to the People“. The arrow is part of a cycle that contains >16 steps.

About Panarchy

Below you can find a picture that tries to explain Panarchy (see chapter 3). The colors are a link to PoC (chapter 4). A pandemic is the result of a jump (Revolt) from a Virus part of the Human Body-Ecology to a Social Network (and further a City).

A model of the Panarchy Cycle (See Chapter 3).The cycle contains 3 layers. Each layers contains 2 connected cycles that are 4fold (see Poc chapter 4) with a center (Total 4+1=5).Every cycle is a nirror of the other. The total cycle (Path of Change (PoC) in this picture contains (6 x 5=) 30 steps.
A Briljant talk of Robert Sapolsky about Western thinking about Complex Systems from the Fall of Rome until Today. Why extreme reductionalism leads to a Paradox.

List of Chapters:

0: Introduction.

  1. About the many Fourfold Cycles there are.

2: Latour and the Parliament of Things.

3: Is a State an Ecology?

What is an Ecology: About Panarchy.

4: Why an Ecology is a Path of Change (PoC) and the many Paths of Change (comparable Procesmodels) that are already there.

5: About the Roots of Panarchy: Cultural Theory which is a PoC.

6: The Relational Model of Alan Fiske (Which is a PoC) and its links to Geometry.

7: Combine Panarchy & PoC & Fiske and discover how Anti-Fragility works.

8: About Thermodynamics and discover why everything flows .

9: About Flow States.

10: About States and Harbours. Why connecting diversity stimulates Innovation.

11: About Entrainment. and why we go to a Church and a Soccermatch severy week to collect Emotional Energy.

12: A New (PoC-)Model for the State.

13: How to Design a State.

14: What Human Rights and Maslows Pyramid have in common.

15: Why The US is a Market Society where everything has a Price.

16: The State as the Monitor of the Political Ecology.

17: About the Acupuncture of the State. About the History of the Chinese State (until today) the Cycle (Mandate of Heaven) that controls the state and the many applications of the cycle in China including Acupuncture.

18: The End. Summary and the introduction of a new blog I will write probably about the Geometry of the State.

0. Introduction

How spontaneous synchronization works.

In this blog I am trying to find out if it is possible to use Complexity Theory to design a Fair Self Organizing Structure to replace the State.

To do that I reuse a blog about Anti-Fragility and the theory of Panarchy that is made to explain an Ecology.

In the end of this blog I will use all the acquired knowledge to design a new model for a State and a City.

1. About Cycles:

A Cycle is a Selforganizing System. We experience many Cyclic processes like Day and Night and the Seasons.

virtually everything that happens on Earth runs in cycles—our climate, the markets, political systems, societies, wars, financial ups-and-downs, etc. Our ancestors have known this for centuries.

Practically all living processes are organised in cycles. The organism is thick with biological rhythms ranging from periods of split seconds for electrical activities of brain cells to seconds such as the heart-beat and respiration, to periods which are circadian and circannual. But no one has ever been able to explain why that should be.

The answer is provided by thermodynamics. It turns out that symmetrically coupled cycles are the key to both the conservation of coherent energy and compensation (or cancelling out) of entropy within the system so that living organisation is maintained.

As one cycle of activity is running down, it is charging up a second cycle, so that the role can be reversed later. Similarly, as disorder is created in some part of the system, a kind of superorder appears in elsewhere, which can restore order to the first part” (Mae Wan Ho).

Observe that MAe Wan Ho uses a theory that explains Anti-Fragility (“Order out of Disorder“) called Thermodynamics. Mae Wan Ho wrote this text long before the concept Anti-fragility was invented. Thermodynamics comes back in Chapter 8.

Figure 2. The life cycle of the organism consists of a self-similar fractal
    structure of cycles turning within cycles
This is a diagram representing the nested cycles that span all space-time scales, the totality of which make up the life cycle of the organism. The life cycle has a self-similar fractal structure, so if you magnify each cycle, you will see that it has smaller cycles within, looking much the same as the whole. Fractal dynamics are the hallmarks of natural processes and are especially fit for the organisation of living systems.
Two Symmetrically Coupled Cycles.

The Life Cycle of the Organism consists of a self-similar fractal structure of cycles.

Jeremy England is a Professor of Physics who uses Thermo Dynamics to explain Life. He detected that a Closed System (Earth, the Ocean) connected to another closed System that produces Energy (Sun) creates random-structures that look like Life. Jeremy is an Orthodox jewish Rabbi.

About Cycles (part 2):

At a certain point in time Humans detected the cyclic processes in the Night Sky that took more than a life-time to return to their beginning. They found he Cycle of the Precession of the Equinox.

observe that a lot of the Cycles Rotate around other Cycles. A rotating rotation is a Spiral.

Prexession Cycle.
Moon Phases
Moon Cycle.
Earth's Rotation Around the Sun Through the Seasons
Sun Cycle.
Alles draait om Alles
Sufi’s simulate a rotating rotation (Spiral).

The State and the City, the Mother of the state, are not alone a Boundary in Space but are also a Cyclic System .that synchronizes with all the other Cyclic systems in its environment (Growth Cycle of Agriculture, Sun cycle, Seasons, Moon Cycle/ Menstruation Cycle, Great Cycle of the Precession, ..).

New Grange , older than Stonehenge, is a Passage Tomb situated in County Meath in Ireland. It is decorated with the Spiral of Life found in many other ancient places. The burial ground is aligned with the Winter Solstice. For more info about the Spiral of Life see chapter 2.
The First Cycle is the Cycle of the Triple Goddess and her Moon-Cycle . The year Cycle of Father the Sun , Nature, is the cycle of the Medicin Wheel. The four Animals come back as symbols of the Four Evangelists.
The Second Cycle is the Cycle of Sumer and Egypt , the Sun ,(Atum) controls the Day and the Seasons. the Stars control the night (Zodiac) and the Moon controls the Magic of Thoth . The Zodiac comes back as the Twelve Apostles. Magic is an example of entrainment.
Around 500 BC The Five Innovators of the Human Inner Space (Yellow) appeared and started the Great Transformation., This started the weekly cycle of Religion, The second transformation came with the creation of Islam, the Religion of the Collective and the Emotions(Green) .The next step is the Religion of the Body and the Senses (Red) (Osho, New Age).
The United Nations and the creation of the Human Rights gave the people at the end of the 2nd world-war hope that we would enter a long period of Peace and Prosperity. They forgot the Great and Cruel Dictator Stalin. At the the end of his empire, with the opening of the Berlin Wall people hoped we would start the Long Boom . Now China is becoming number one. Will this benefit the World?

In this blog I introduce Complexity Theory (CT) to design a new type of State, the Self Organizing State or city. CT shows that when we Stop controlling a system It will Self-organizes.

Humans contain cells, contain molecules contain atoms etc etc. The organizing principle repeats until the deepest level ,the vacuum but it also moves up until Cities States and the Earth.

Neil Theise: About Complexity Theory: A City and a State are an example of a Self-organizing System.untill we Humans start to Organize and create Traffic Jams and Depressions.
This video provides a basic introduction to the science of complex systems, focusing on Patterns in nature. The most simple rule is Copying behavior although copying behavior can be the result of Entrainment which is the result of being the same (alike) and connected to a shared Sensable (by the Brain) connection-infrastructure. A Synchronized Brain produces Theta Waves that are also produced when a Human is in Deep Trance.

This blog contains examples of a new model for the State and the City who was the Mother of the State.

looking-to-toledo1

This model is based on the model of Panarchy. Panarchy is a model of an Ecology.

If you are only interested in the model move to Chapter 12.

I hope you already believe that the State is an Ecology. If you believe this please realize that Complexity Theory tells you that you have to Trust the Self-Organizing power of the State. So stop organizing and Remove the Barriers of all the control systems.

There is a special Linkedin-Group created for people who want to discuss the future of the State.

I have started this blog September 9 2020 . It is intended as the last chapter of my already finished blog About the Future of the State.

In my blog About the Future of the State (“the initial blog“) I have given a lot of information about what is going wrong with the Constitutional State and many theories about how states work.

The biggest problem is that the Constitutional State is controlled by an Aristrocratic Elite organized as a Tribe that profits from the Power and the Taxsystem of the State.

A (powerful) Politial party looks like a Tribe.

Many International or local Conflicts are Tribal Conflicts.

The highly needed Redistribution of the Wealth from the Rich to the Poor in the economy does not take place. The rich get Richer and the `Poor get Poorer.

Thomas Piketty is in favor of high taxes for rich people but most of all of free and good Education for Everybody. One of his examples is Theodore Roosevelts New Deal.

2. Latour and the Parliament of Things:

The most interesting link in the initial blog is a Statement called How to Think as a State of the French Philosopher Bruno Latour to the WRR a Scientific advisoryBoard to the King of the Netherlands about the Future of the State.

In this statement he explains the Parliament of Things (PoT) comparable to the IoT.

In the PoT humans organisms, lakes, mountains cars and other things are represented.

PoT is a concept that questions the way we organize our State. It questions also what a representional democracy really represents. Does it represent all things that are born and die including the animals that have no language or is the system of representation a simulator that hides the Games we Play.

3. The State is an Ecology that is part of the World-System:

Latour gave me the idea that the State is an Ecology.

An Ecology is a Complex multi-layered Redistribution System that contains a wide array of interacting levels of organization spanning micro-level (e.g., cells, humans) to a planetary scale (e.g., biosphere).

If you want, replace in this definition the components of the Ecology with the components of the City or the State and see what you get. Do you miss something?.

A Complex System has distinct Properties that arise from its relationships, such as nonlinearity, emergence, spontaneous order, adaptation, and feedback loops, among others.

The Windows of the Cathedral of Chartres shows the Spiral of Time.The spiral is explained by the Glass-in-Lead Windows that contains a Story that describes a Step in the Spiral
The Spiraling Spiral in Chartres Cathedral
The Spiral of Time in Chartres Cathedral now shown as a Maze . The place you stop in the Maze looks at the corresponding Window.

An explaining theory of the State is called World System Theory (WST).In this case the state is a System (a World, the domain of Man), a Boundary in Space/Time that operates at the level of the Earth.

The five Geographic boundaries . with China in the Center.

WST can be combined with the theory of the Long-Time Cycles mostly related to Kondratiev but also to Marx, Polanyi and Schumpeter.

If you look below at the pictures and read this you will see that the kondratiev-wave is in its 5th state with the color White and the subject Whole. The wave will be at its top around 2050.

The technology in this phase is called Global Brain. Gobal Brain has a lot to do with what now is called Artificial Intelligence (AI) and AI has a lot to with the Big Brother State that is now created in China.

Global Brain could be the Brain of an Entrained Collective. see chapter 11.

Want to read more (in Dutch) about the Cycles? download the PDF below.

A Cycle contains a cycle (Overtones) and contains 5 Stages (Red (Intensity)->Blue (Order)-> Yellow (Crativity -> (Green (Social)-> White (Whole, Center )-> Red. In the pictures below the colors refer to the same Descriptions of the Stages.The stages can be explained by the theory of Paths of Change (PoC).
In this picture you see the Kondratiev cycle after every iteration of the wave of 50 year starting 1740 ending 2040.Every step can be divided in 5 steps and every step can also be divided in 5 steps creating different Cycles with different names.
The Technology Cycle related to the Kondratiev with a Periodicity of 52 yrs.Starting with the Factory of Taylor ending with the Global Brain in 2050.

]

The kondratiev Cycle is represented as a Spiral and is related to the Meta-Narrative (Chronotope) of Bahktin and PoC by their colors.

knot
The Chronotope of Bahktin (The place where the knots of narrative are tied)

Blue is the color of the Law of Rome and Red is the color of he Actions of Alexander who conquered almost the complete World at his time. Yellow is the color of Spirit seen in The rise of Art in the Renaissance and the Rise of Christianity.

Green is the color of Social related to Social conflicts like the French Revolution. White is the color of the Center (The Whole) . White is always combined with a New World Religion. It could be related to the return of the Maitrea expected in many Religions.

There have been three kinds of historical systems across human history: “mini-systems” or what anthropologists call bands, tribes, and small chiefdoms, and two types of world-systems, one that is politically unified and the other is not (single state world empires and multi-polity world economies). World-systems are larger, and are ethnically diverse. The modern world-system, a capitalist world-economy, is unique in being the first and only world-system, which emerged around 1450 to 1550, to have geographically expanded across the entire planet, by about 1900.

It is defined, as a world-economy, in having many political units tied together as an interstate system and through its division of labor based on capitalist enterprises.

The Tribes never leave their State even when the states have grown into very big structures.

In the current capitalistic system many “tribes” (for instance the Oligarchs of russia) use the income of the state they control to fight their battles. These battles are now mostly faught using highly intelligent technology and weapons.

About the book the Great Transformation of Poliany. Polanyi explains that the modern market economy and the modern nation-state should be understood not as discrete elements but as the single human invention he calls the “MarketSociety”. See Chapter 4 of PoC and look at the game of the market (Sensory(Red) <->Social (reen).
Prior to the great transformation, people based their economies on Reciprocity and Redistribution (Tax) across Personal and Communal relationships. During the great transformation land, labor and money got a price. look at Chapter 5 About the Worldviews of Alan Fiske at he Market Pricing Social Relationship.

About Panarchy:

Panarchy is a Fractal Model of an Ecology that can be represented by an adaptive cycle of four distinct phases:
growth or exploitation (r)
conservation (K)
collapse or release (omega)
reorganization (alpha).

The Theory of Panarchy is used in many of my blogs. One of them is a Blog about Anti-Fragility called How to Benefit from Disorder and a Dutch version about the same issue. I will reuse these blogs.

Anti-Fragility happens when an Ecology moves Up (Revolt) to a New Fractal level. The opposite (Going Down) is called Remember. In this state the ecology saves some of its state in a place that acts as a Memory out of which o a Copy of the old state can be regenerated. This place is called a Sacred Grove.

A Sacred Grove is often a Sacred Place in a Wood. An example is the Cathedral of Chartres that was a sacred place for the Druids of the Celts.

In the UP-state The Ecology becomes Bigger and Slower in its Cyclic Frequency.

As a consequence of the periodic, but transient phases of Destruction (omega stage) and Reorganization (alpha stage), a system’s Structure and processes can be Reorganized.

This reshuffling allows for the establishment of new system configurations and opportunities for the incorporation of exotic and entirely novel entrants into the system. The adaptive cycle explicitly introduces mutations and rearrangements.

An Ecology is a Fractal Cyclic Adaptive Innovation System.

Example of a Sacred Grove. The Tree where Joseph Smith, the founder of the Mormons got his vision.
The Climate Cycle is a Fourfold Cycle because of the Cyclic Motion of the Globe of the Earth combined with a cycle around the sun. Water is crucial for Life.This model shows that the Weather or the Climate can be used to understand the State. The State like the Economy is going through all the stages of the weather. Many scientists have used the seasons as analogs for the states of the Economy. When you follow the Arrows in the picture you will see the Panarchy Cycle going around in the Horizontal plane with and against the clock and going Up and Down in the Vertical Plane.
A natural Ecology looks like a very Big coupled distributed Chemical Factory where all the organisms are nodes. This means that an Ecology can be described by Thermo Dynamics. If you want to know more look at this blog.

Panarchy is a conceptual framework created by Gunderson and Holling to account for the dual, and seemingly contradictory, characteristics of all complex systemsstability and change.

Panarchy is a contradictory system. It fuses what cannot be fused .

the 2D version of Panarchy is determinated by Potential (Wealth) and Connectedness.

A highly connected system is very fragile when the system is hit by a calamity The Climate-crisis is an example.
When a A highly connected system fails this is called the Domino-effect. The Domino is modelled by the Self-Orgnized Criticallity theory of Per Bak. This theory shows that the Probability Distribution of a calamity is not a Bell Curve but a Power Law.
Black Swans vs Dragon Kings. Coupling The Same generates Synchronization.
About Powers Laws.

Panarchy is the study of how Economic growth and Human development depend on Biological ecosystems and Social institutions, and how they interact.

It is an integrative framework, bringing together ecological, economic and social models of change and stability, to account for the complex interactions among both these different areas, and different scale levels.

No system can be understood or managed by focusing on it at a single scale. All systems exist and function at multiple scales of space, time and social organization, and the interactions across scales are fundamentally important in determining the dynamics of the system at any particular focal scale. This interacting set of hierarchically structured scales has been termed a “panarchy” (Gunderson and Holling 2003).

Panarchy shows that a Government that wants to optimize the State seen as an ecology will end up with a Decay of this state.

The only thing that helps is not to interfere and follow the cycle, as you can see in the picture below where every step moves between opposites (“tensions, “polarities “).

Want to know more about opposites : read this blog about Logic and Alchemy.

4. About Paths of Change:

Paths of Change (PoC) is a theory and a model about Change.

The model of Paths of Change is a 2D Fourfold pattern of Opposites called a Quaternion by Jung.

In this Chapter you will find many Paths (of Change) related to many Subjects in which PoC is used. Remember the PoC was known by the Hunter Gatherers.

Poc is used to design a Typology of Banks.
The model of Paths of Change (PoC) is a Theory of Change discovered by Will McWhinney. In this blog the 4 colors of PoC called a Worldview are used to make a connection to the theory. It is called PoC because every Change is a combination of a Cyclic Combination of Points of View (Worldviews). Will McWhinney called the Paths Games like the Analytical Game (Sensory/Unity vice/versa). There are 2-step Games but also 5 step Games (for instance the Drama Triangle).
A model of the Human Personality based on PoC. The Human Personality model rotates Against and With the Clock. These Rotations are called Introvert and Extravert. The model also has an Observer-state. When the Points of View repeat the Human has a Mental Ilness.
Paths of Change is a fractal theory which means that the model of PoC can be used on itself . Every Square can be divided in Four Squares that can again be divided in four Squares ad infinitum.
The Pyramid of Maslow as a PoC-Structure.
The Holmes Event Scale as a Trigger for Calamities.
The kubler Ross Transition Curve is a pattern that shows how the Four World Views of the Emotions react to a Calamity. A Calamity triggers a Spring, which is a model of the Emotions. The white line is called the Setpoint. The Setpoint is the Middle of the cycle.
How the Emotions (Social) react to a Calamity. in a cycle that rotates with the clock (generative cycle) This picture shows that the Emotions are a Fractal System.
ALthough the pattern looks like a Causal Chain the parts of the chain can be triggered by a Central Clock that triggers the parts at the same time.To make this possible the Internal Clcok has to synchronize with an external clock.
Every Point of View relates to a special type of social network.

There are old examples of the Games of PoC. For instance Chess, the Tarot, the Elements and the Dance of Shiva.

The Five Elements Map
The Chinese Five Element Cycle contains five Elements and many ways to connect the five elements (Nourishing, Controlling and Reductive). The Five Element cycle is a Four Elements Cycle with the Middle (the Center) included.
The Chinese Five Element Cycle is generated out of a 3×3 Magic Square called the Lo Shu. The World Views are the Classical Elements with the colors of Poc. The Cycle contains two Paths of Change. One in the Center and one on the Outside. There are Five Worldviews (4+1) where the 5th is the Center (called Earth, the middle of the Cross that connects the other four views. , in this pattern a view is connected to two other world views one direct and the other 2 steps further. The middle of the circle is a Pentacle.
Lo shu turtle
Lo Shu on the back of a Turtle. The Turtle is the symbol of the Starsystem Orion. The middle is 5 and the sum is 15 (3×5) = 1+2+3+4+5.
worldclock
Wheel of Time and Order in the Dream of wolfgang Pauli comparable to the vision of Ezekiel. .The Four Beings look like the Four Animals of the Zodiac and the four animals of the Medicine Wheel all related to the World Views that rotate perpendicular to eachother.
illustration of Sheng/Ke Cycle
The Chinese Sheng Cycle with Five Elements/Worldviews where the 5th worldview is the Center connected to a special Season Late Summer sometimes called Indian Summer. It is the Season in the Middle I have added Communion and Agency that can be transformed into Yang (Agency) and Yin Communion).

Observe that the Center of the Pentacle is a 180 Degrees rotated Pentacle. In this sub-Pentacle the Pattern Repeats until infinity. This shows the fractal nature of this model. Fractal (“Self Reference“) means that a Model repeats itself in the model. This principle was called As Above So Below .
The Ouroboros: Self Reference.
The Sheng Cyc;le as a generator of waves related to the Human Set Point and the directions of the Point of View (called Elements). The Emotions point down. The Senses look at the Outside world looking back. The Imagination looks up. The Mind creates the future by making a Plan or have an Expectation.
In the middle the Triangle of the Creator Stone (Saturm) surrounded by 7 Planets and the Four Animals.
This picture shows that the Moebius Ring of Panarchy is a combination of Games that combines Two Cycles that move With- and Against the Clock. With the Clock is called the generative or Producing cycle the other way araound is destructructive or Consuming Cycle.

5. About the Roots of Panarchy: Cultural Theory:

De vier fasen van de Panarchy Cyclus voorgesteld als een landschap met een rollende bal
The Four Metaphors of Cultural Theory mapped on a Mathematical Model.

The matrix pictured here, adapted from Michiel Schwarz and Michael Thompson (1990), is one presentation of a typology of worldviews called cultural theory.

It plots acceptance of social controls (on the vertical axis) and levels of social commitment (on the horizontal axis). In the quadrants, the worldviews or rationalities depicted are alternatively described as archetypes, ways of life, social solidarities, and myths or caricatures of nature.

“We postulate that these four ways of life are in conflict in every conceivable domain of social life,” write Michael Thompson and Marco Verwell (2004). “Each of the four ways of life consists of a specific way of structuring social relations and a supporting cast of particular beliefs, values, emotions, perceptions, and interests.”

“In the end, every type of social conflict is about types of organization,” writes anthropologist Mary Douglas (2006). “Why do we settle for four types? Because this model is at once parsimonious and it is comprehensive. A hundred, or a million, types of cultural bias may be out there. But for explanatory value three, four or five types of social environment are enough to generate three, four or five distinct cosmologies.”

“Each rationality will generate its own distinctive engineering aesthetic: its own definition of the good, the beautiful and the socially desirable,” write Schwarz and Thompson (1990). “Our concern, therefore, should not be with which one is right (for that would be to insist that just one rationality had access to ‘the truth’) but rather with which is appropriate to the task at hand.”

Below I present a comparable model of Alan Fiske:

6. About the Relational Model of Alan Fiske:

The Relational Models of Fiske look a lot like PoC.

The Four Views of Fiske are Four World-views Viewing at the Social Worldview (also being the Emotions).

(1): Communal Sharing: This is a Social Social group. People live together and Share things. People are treated as equivalent and undifferentiated. “What’s mine is thine; what’s thine is mine”. Fairness is important in such groups and appealing to values may be the best way to persuade. Conflict may be dealt with through mediation and others methods that seek consensus.

The Sensory view on Social Fiske calls a (2): Market=Pricing-relationship. We call this a Company. or a Community of Practice. I have repeated the picture of the Sensory view below.

As you can see a City is an expansion of the Sensory (red) view when we see a City as an Actor or Organism.

Scientists of the Santa Fe institute have found that a city behaves as an organism or a Super-organism.

(3): Equality Matching: Equality matched relationships generally collaborate around Shared goals and help one another. Relationships are reciprocal and have equal value. People treat fairly those who treat them fairly. See Tit-for-Tat as the solution of the Iterated Prisoners Dilemma.

4: Authority RankingSocial groups are arranged with a hierarchy of power. The top of the pyramid protects the lower layers.

Fiske found out that his Relational Models have a lot in common with the Scales used in Measurement Theory. We measure others the same way we measure objects and situations.

Scales are not only instruments to determine a Measurement-strategy. Scales are also ladders that bring you higher to get a better Point-of-View. This view is always blocked by the Horizon, the Point of Infinity.

The scales can be ordered in a cycle that looks like the cycle of Panarchy. The Scales and therefore the Social relations and therefore PoC and Panarchy can be related to four different Geometries.

Fiske and later Bolender found out “that there is a truly fundamental self-organizing physical process (symmetry braking) underlying social relationships that has hitherto been ignored,” They form a descending, nested series with successively fewer degrees of uniqueness (There are fewer ‘admissible’ transformations which preserve the same information).

Another explanation can be found in the spatial structure of the human body. In this context an important reference must be the work by Samuel Todes, especially his dissertation -published in 2001 by MIT Press and titled “Body and World.”.

Another explanation can be found in the Embodiment-theory of the group of George Lackof.

About Body & World.Hubert Dreyfus for a discussion of why machines cannot become human. In their discussion, they talk about the role of philosophy in clarifying what it means to be human. Hubert explains his calling and calling in general.

Humans learn about the other by copying. This faculty has been named mirror-neurons but is stil in discussion.

Another explanation is mutual entrainment, the tendency of coupled oscillators to fall into step that is widely observed in mechanical and biological systems.

Entrainment

The model of Relationship of Fiske contains the Four Worldviews on Social. This picture contains the rotation against the Clock. (Consuming, Creative). The cycle with the clock is called the Productive Cycle. Both cycles are complementary wich means that they annihilate when they are connected (“Social”) . The energy of the fusion (Bisociation) generates the Light of Insight.
The Spiritual Cycle of Walter Russell.
The Cycle of with a rotation with the clock of the Emotions caused by a Calamity. THis model is comparable to the Kubler Ross-model (see Below). Observe that a calamity acts as a Spring.
The Relationshipmodel of Fiske related to PoC.

The development of the Scales follows the proces of Panarchy. About extensive and intensive measures . an intensive quantity is one whose magnitude is independent of the size of the system. This is a definition of continuous data.
Examples of Scales.The Ratio Scale uses a Ruler. It measures a Length. an Interval Scale measures a Distance THe Ordinal Scale measures a Rank and the Nominal Scale measures A the names of a List of the same Objects. (Being Part of The cities of the Netherlands). The order of the objects is not important). The list can be permuted (put in a different order).

The mathematical theory of Projective Geometry is a spin-off of the discovery of Perspective Drawing in the Renaissance. Drawing is a combination of Sensing and Action (Sensory-Motor-cortex).

IMAGE: Leonardo's perspectograph
This is The Perspectograph of Leonardo Da Vinci. The painter looks with one Eye through a Hole.
EUCLIDEAN AND OTHER GEOMETRIES
In Euclidian Geometry parallel lines don’t cross . Non-Eulidean Space is Curved. In every space the Sum of the Angles of the Triangel are different.
Writer Fuel: How Non-Euclidean Geometry Turned Me Into a Rebel - DIY MFA
Every Perspective has his own Horizon.


There is much reason to believe that what is called Revolt in Panarchy and Design in PoC is called Anti-Fragility (AF) by Nassim Taleb

AF is the art of directing an enormous frustrated diversity (mythic, yellow) towards a common Goal (unitary, blue). This happens in revolutions in which the frustrated disadvantaged popular masses (green) want to conquer the position of the rulers (blue).

AF causes a transition between two (eco) systems in which a new higher order arises. The new order has a slower rhythm, slower, because it has lost the flexibility of the lower order and has a greater range.

The revolution has filled the bureaucracy of the old structures with those who were out of order. In essence, little changes (the iron law of the oligarchy).
The new order has found a different concept for the diversity that is under pressure. An example is the transition from the unicellular to the multicellular organism that in its unicellular state had to go against the current to gather food and now just waits for the useful resources to come along.

As long as the new plan, model is only present in the mind, the model is scale independent (“a vision or a philosophy”). As soon as one starts making the design (Blue / red / -> make), one will have to fall back on what is available or design and build a lot (the “utopia”) to shape the entire ecology.
Anti-fragility occurs when the imbalance in an Equality Matching structure (resilience) becomes too great and the structure wants to return to its equilibrium.
In such a case, there are three possibilities (1) the parts go back to the original AR (blue) and reorder (counter-revolution) (2) the parts go MP (standardization, red) and are translated into ( some) units or (3) they leave the current ecology and go to a “higher” ecology where they also end up in a new AR.
The picture shows that Resilience (Anti-Fragile) and Fragile are a category and that Agile and Anti-Agile are a category.

Here you have to ask yourself if Anti-Fragile and Resilience are not the same. The first category (Fragile, Anti-Fragile) is a Form where Fragile is a physical form (a glass, matter, solid, “earth”) and Anti-Fragile is an Idea (“air”, film, software, media).

Agile and Anti-Agile are forms of collaboration that control a process. In the first case (Anti-Agile) the process (a streamline) is fixed (standard, earth / ice). The second case (Agile) is very flexible (“water”). All paths from the source flow to the sea.
Relationship Typologies (Chapter 6) - The Cambridge Handbook of Personal  Relationships
The Model of Fiske related to Concepts out of the Social Psychology.

7. Mapping the Fractal Model of Panarchy to Poc and Fiske:

The Cycles of Panarchy are fractal . They move with their own frequency. The scales are connected and Jumps Up (Revolt) and Down (Remember). Revolt looks like a Human Revolution Evolution in Biology and Anti-Fragile (being a state where the system changes and increases its Potential by being able to produce different (re)actions.

Panarchy is controlled by 3 Variables and moves in Time. This means that Panarchy is a 4D-Control feedback system. The variables are called Potential (Up/Down), Resilience (High/Low) and Connectedness (Communion, High/Low). Resilience looks like a Spring.

Reactions of a Microbial Ecology to a Major Disturbance. The Ecology reacts by (1) Staying the Same (Resistance) , (2) Moves back to its Original Position (Resilience), (3) Performs the same with a different structure (Functional Redundancy and (4) Performs differentely with a different Structure (Anti-Fragile). This model could be related to a Microbial community that is part of a Human. It shows that an Ecology can be part of an Ecology and higher.

8. Constructal Law

This a model of Earth that is used in Constructal Law.
Constructal Law is a special law of ThermoDynamics. It proofs that Rotation of Earth results in all kind of Flow Systems that remove the Resistance against their flow.
The Evolution on Earth can be xplained by Constructal Law.

9. Flow Systems States and Estuaries:

The Ancient States Egypt and Sumer were based on an ecology mostly situated at an Estuary of of a Big River (Nile, Euphrate, Tigris) that ends in a sea.

The States got into big problems when the climate changed and raining stopped, the amount of sweet water went down in combination with the entering of salt water of the sea. This all destroyed the crops.

10.Harbours, the Silk Road and other Places of Exchange of Ideas:

Many old states were situated at an Entrance to the Sea (Harbour) to make Trade and Exchange of Ideas possible. Trade was also facilitated by being at an important node in a international trade route that crossed the Desert (The Silk Road).

The connection points were the point were Ideas, Philosophies and Theories were exchanged. The Harbors facilitated important Creative centers like Alexandria and Venice.

China has copied the ancient concept of the Silk Road. China combines two activities Trade(Trans-Actions-> Sensory Worldview) and Politics (Unity <-> Social Worldview) . With the income of the Trade (Wealth, Potential) ) they buy the local Politicians who represent a local Tribe-network.

11.About Entrainment:

RandallCollins shows in his book Interacting Ritual Chains that Humans need the Entrainment of Special group Rituals to release Emotional Tensions. Successful rituals create symbols of group membership and pump up individuals with positive emotional energy.

RUSSIA-EASTER

A Dragon King is a Calamity that is caused by Entrainment mostly called a Bubble. In this case the parts are higly connected and look alike. An example is a crowd or a hype.
Being in Love is an example of Entrainment.
When many organisms (who look a lot alike) are focused on the same event they entrain. (become one).
Entrainment happens when pendulums are connected to a shared structure (a wall in a room).
Humans are entrained to their outside repeating (Cyclic) environment. Every part is connected to a small clock that is entrained to a big clock in our case the Sun.

12. Examples of A new Model of the State:

In this Chapter I put the models out of Chapter 1-12 in a special order in which the City or the State plays a central role.

The picture below shows a PoC-model with a pattern of a Moebius Ring.

The Moebius-ring (the number 8) is the model behind Panarchy. An ecology contains many connected 8’s. A connected Ecology could be called a Region.

The model contains the functions that can be found in a (big) city. The States grew out of Cities.

Cities look like Organisms. Organisms cooperate in super-organisms. An Ecology is a Super Organism (comparable to the Ants).

The second picture below the picture below is also a model of a (big) City . It contains the Social Networks described in Chapter 4 (About PoC) in the Center.

It also contains a Linear connected ValueChain I call a Value Cycle or a Value Network.

It also contains a Triangel with a Center that connects the many roles that could be implemented as a Monitor. A Monitor plays the role of the Observer, Consciousness. Its role is to Balance the Four Roles. In my opinion the State (or City) should play this role instead of playing the role of the Controller.

The patterns in this model you can seen at the right. They contain a Poc Cycle in a Poc Cycle containing many PoC-cycles that represent Humans.

The term Company (Red)Flow and Sensor represent Activities in the City represented as a Value Cycle. A Value Cycle is a Value Chain that is connected. Flow Systems are related to the rotation of the Earth connected to the Sun Cycle. A City is synchronized to the Day and the Sun Cycle,.

Yellow (Idea, creative)/<-<Red (Sensing, Action) is called Inventive in PoC . Very important is the link Green (Social)<->Blue (Management, Control, Unity, Rules, Systems) ) that contains the term Building Value and the link Blue/Yelow (Inspire). It is the most important process that transforms resources (Value) into a Unity (Capital, Wealth,Potential) that is able to allocate the Creative Power (Spirit). Have a look again at how entrainment is used in combinations with Rituals.

The 3rd Picture shows a bigger picture where Types of Systems are related that are 2fold (Fragile), 4Fold (look like Organisms) and N-Fold (Anti-Fragile). They change in a way we call Evolution.

The interesting part of all the pictures is that they are all created by applying the fractal of PoC on PoC etc.

If The State is an Ecology we have to create a Multi-Layer nested PoC-model or start with a simple model (“a meta-fractal?) and make it more complex by combining more parts in different ways. The lowest level of this system has to be the human. The human is a moving-Ecology of Bacteria and Viruses.

The pictures below are explained in the chapters above.

Pictures come from Chapter 4 (About PoC): Also see this.

This PoC-model has the Human in the Center and decribes Social Networks and a connecting proces that moves against the clock called Generating. A City is an expansion of the Sensory part of the Human.
This is a PoC-model that shows how a human reacts to a calamity.This model is compatible to the model of Kubler ross.
The same model applied to a City. This model was used in a Smart City -project (called SUS, Smart Urban Space) in the Hague. In the Center we see the Observer.
A simple Model of a City in which the Citizens evaluate the products of the companies transfer the products into Value that is used to Inspire Inventors that create new Products. The Companies are really like all the other Social Networks
The picture is a result of a lot of research with the Social Relations Model of Fiske. Set is also called Family. A Company is an Expansion of the Sensory Motor System with a focal point on Taking Measures. Management is Ranking.
See Fiske Market Pricing below.. Revolution (another term for Innovation) Fuses difference by Abstracting.
The four Worldviews are Yellow Unique/ : Playing Games, Green (Social): Cooperate, Blue: Order: Hierarchy is about Power and Red: the Sensory-Moter-part is about Conflict/Competition.
3 Connected Ecologies: : Human part of a Social Network part of a City.
PoC, Panarchy & Fiske combined with Anti-Fragility. An Ecology can be a Region but An Ecology can also be a Human (or an Organism) or lower in the levels we can define until the singularity.
A fractal model of a City seen as an organism. The lowest level is Urban Space. THis space is filled with Buildings That are connected by Roads and other “tubes”. The Buildings are specialized. The city is a Value Cycle that connects all of the Social Networks incuding the Social Social Networks (Family, Friends, ..), the Knowledge-Social networks (R&D, University, Schools,..) and the Experience-SocialNetworks, Community of Practice that are also called Companies. The Value-Cycle contains the steps of PoC, Plan, Produce, Use and Innovate). The Manage-Layer, a Triangel, soemetimes called Government is again divided in four parts called Planning. Business, Democracy and the Top.Democracy isa concept and is used to inspire, generate ideas. Voting is an emotional process (like, not like, opinion.
A Calamity is a Trigger to a major Change of a System. This System contains (1) Fragile/Rigid Sub-systems . They have two states Order or Not-Order (Chaos). Chaos is an order we cannot explain. (2) Resilient Sub-Systems. They have a Four-Fold structure that looks like an Organism. A Resilient System returns in the same order it had before the distortion. (3) Anti-Ftragile Systems. They have a >4-Fold structure and are comparable to Spiral in a Spiral. They return in a different state with a different functionality. We call this proces Evolution.

13. How to Design a State:

In this chapter we use the Development Proces-Model of PoC. The Arrows make it possible to create Many Different paths of Change..

Observe that Industry , Science, Market (see Polyani) and Media are part of the Model but that the Cross is not filled This place, the role of the Observer or Monitor could be taken by the Sate or the City.

The Cycle starts (or ends) with an Event that generates an Expectation-Failure that violates a Goal that can be explained by a Model or a Rule that when it is Explained (taken out of the plane) Evokes an In-/Over-sight that generates an Idea that generates a Motive to get in Action. An Idea is a fusion of contradictory concepts.
Panarchy used as a Product Development System.

14: Human Rights and Maslows Pyramid.

The ancient States grew out of Cities that where (re)Created close to the Sea by a group of People with a Bloodline (Kin(g) ) to a Godmade Human.

The “new” states USA (1787) , France (1789, ), Got Rid of their Kings and God and Based their Constitution on the Principle of “Natural Right“,that later inspired the 1948 United Nations Universal Declaration of Human Rights.

Human Rights (HR) have a lot in common with Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs. This means that HR have a lot in Common with PoC and therefore with Fiskes theory of Human Relations and Panarchy.

Human Rights are a product of an Utopian Movement that was motivated by many World Wars and Dictators that love to speak to their counterparts in the General Assembly of the UN.

Laws are a symbolic power enforced by the legal system that is enforced by a democracy, the power of the many that have no power against the smart weapons that are designed to give Big Brother its tools to control the minds.

A politics of human rights must transcend judges. History shows that movements relying on judges alone are weak. We need more power and the power can be found in the citizins that are also consumers. They can vote with their wealth but much netter with their Intelect.

15: The US is a Market Society: see Fiske Market Pricing Relationship.

n the past three decades, says Michael Sandel, the US has drifted from a market economy to a market society; it’s fair to say that an American’s experience of shared civic life depends on how much money they have. (Three key examples: access to education, access to justice, political influence.) In a talk and audience discussion, Sandel asks us to think honestly on this question: In our current democracy, is too much for sale?

16. The State as the Monitor of the Political Ecology:

In the following chapters I will create my preferred model of the State. To do this I will use the Building blocks that were created in the previous chapters.

About Alchemy and the Squaring of the Circle:

When thou hast made the Quadrangle Round, Then is all the Secret found”. George Ripley (d.d. 1490).

I believe the State should play the role of Monitor also called Consciousness or Observer.

The monitor is in the Middle is connecting with the different Points of View making sure that the Whole is in Balance.

The monitor is without Judgement. Its only task is to Communicate.

When you look at Paths of Change you will see the big problem that arises when everybody enforces his own Personal View on the World.

It wil lead to a Permanent Conflict in which certain parts Dominate other parts for a while claiming they are the Truth.

Every Point of View claims it has its own Right but blocks the view on the Whole for the others.

Without a view on the whole the parts become a whole leading to an explosion of Complexity.

Our body contains organs but the organs are not the controller of the Body.

Our Brain is not a computer that contains software-programs that are triggered by the sensors of the senses.

the Parts react to the signals of all the Other Parts.

The monitor collects and distributes these signals.

We are a Bodyfield that synchronizes with other fields.

The Hero Path
The Monomyth of Joseph Canpbell

When we look at the Path of the Hero (PoH, also called the monomyth) that was rediscovered by Joseph Campbell we learn that the adventure of life starts with a Calling (Event) to go on a Quest.

In this Quest we use the practises and talents we have aquired in our life.

During the Quest we meet a lot of Helpers (Community) that are motivated by the Quest. At a certain point we have to make a Choice (Priotize) where to go and find the Insight we need to go on.

This Insight is shared with the Community.

An Insight is a view of the inside. Our inside is a Body . Our Body is the Temple we live in.

The PoH is a combination of 2 triangels, the Analytic Cycle and the Value Cycle that share the connection between Vision & Practice called Invention.

The Quest proves what all the Alchemists knew when they had found the Stone that brings Eternal Life.

When the Alchemist closes the circle of the Four Worldviews the alchemist discovers that History repeats itself all the time.

When the monitor does not move all the Stages of the Cycle will appear time after time stage after stage until the cycle returns to the Moment of Conception.

a Natural Ecology stores the Seeds of its creation in a sacred Groove in the Woods, a Spiritual Ecology stores its Intelectual Seeds in the Collective Unconsciousness or in its Holy Books or in the Myths and Stories that are Retold (“Retelling = Reounting) all the time.

17: About the Acupuncture of the State.

Worldviews and Meridians.

Acupuncture is part of the Chinese Medical (TCM) Tradition and the Indian Medical Tradition called Ayurveda.

The Chinese use Five Elements (Organs) related to the WOrldviews of PoC. Ayurveda uses the same Elements now called Tatvas .

The energy nodes are called Chakra‘s or Meridians. Meridians are paths through which the Life-Energy known as qi” f(or Prana) flows. Qi is the Electro-Magnetic-field that is caused by Moving Electrons in our blood.

The Chinese/Indian-system of medicine was known all over the world including the West. In the west the art of medicine was practiced by the Guild of the Barbers and Medical Doctors trained at the University. They used a Medical Theory that was based on Analogy (the Four Humors ).

The BloodLetting Points
The Bloodletting points of the Barbers correspond with the acupuncture points.
Tattva - Wikipedia
Tatvas. Spirit black egg
Tejas – Fire red equilateral triangle
Vayu – Air blue circle
Apas – Water half circle / silver crescent Prithvi (Earth tattva) – symbolized by a yellow square.
The Chinese Zodiac vs the Hebrew Alphabet
Kim Veltman’s researched the development of World Cultures by looking at the development of Alphabets.This video is part of a long playlist. Yesterday I discovered that Kim Veltman died recently 1-4-2020. Kim shows that World Culture was already there 100.000 BC and there was a lively contact with all the cultures (also in the US) by Ship and Silk Roads.

Kim Veltman shows that the many cultures on earth use the same building blocks for already > 120.000 years. The building blocks were rearranged in different orders but on the deepest level they stayed the same. He also shows that old-myths are old histories that bring us back to the beginning. This beginning was paradise and paradise was a place where humans were confronted with many dilemma’s that have not changed because our body is not changed.

The States are the Organs of the Earth.
World map showing the sacred sites, energy points, major chakras and major vortexes of the world.
ABout The Acupuncture Points of the Earth.
Ayurveda versus Chinese Medicine | AcuPro Academy | Acupuncture Online  Courses
The Artashastra: The Indian Art of War and Politics. The primal task of the King is to distribute Wealth.
About Ancient Indian knowledge about Strategy given to US Strategists of the Army.

The Mandate of Heaven.

The Emperor is in Control until he Fails.

The Mandate of Heaven is a cyclic concept originating in the Zhou Dynasty from before 1000 B.C. which determines whether the emperor is sufficiently virtuous to rule.

The Zhou People worshiped a supreme deity, Tian, the name means “sky” and in English means “Heaven.”

tThe mandate is based on four principles:
1. The right to rule is granted by Heaven
2. There is only Heaven therefore there can only be one ruler
3. The right to rule is based on the virtue of the ruler
4. The right to rule is not limited to one dynasty.

The mandate is still believed by a majority of the people of China. This means that even the tribe of the Communist Party and its leader (a new type of Emperor) has to obey the rules.

The four pillars of the Mandate of Heaven demand that if the Emperor fails to fulfil his obligations to the people, then his Mandate and right to be ruler is over.

“Heaven” sends signs when the ruler’s day are done.

Disasters of nature such as floods, drought, famine and disease are signs that the Ruling Dynasty has lost Heaven’s Mandate to rule, and those happenings justify the people’s right to rebel against them under the four principles of the Mandate.

In centuries past, these signs from Heaven led to uprisings – 49 times in Chinese history – and a new Ruling Dynasty came to power, often from within the ranks of those who rebelled.

5-EL-4

Plan of the Ritual complex built by emperor Wang Mang (AD 9) as a reconstruction of the Ming Tang of antiquity. The Four Directions as Doors and in the Middle the Central Building are an implementation of the Sheng Cycle in the Central City of the State. It shows the fractal nature of the state.

In ancient China the Emperor was responsible for the Balance/Harmony of the State. To balance the State the Emperor used the Sheng Cycle implemented in the practice of Sun Tzu.

This Practise can be used in Foreign Policy with the aim of Avoiding Conflicts (Diplomacy) but also in Fighting a War (Strategy). The chinese ruler used the strategy of Tit-for-Tat (Copying the behavior of the opponent).

A very small deviance of what was seen as not normal (a Rooster laying an egg) was seen as an indication that the Balance of the State was gone. It was the signal that big disasters were at hand.

At that moment the Emperor had to Balance the State by performing rituals and by taking action for instance by replacing the Governor of a Province where the imbalance took place.

The rituals of the Emperor focused the attention of the Citizens and this energy changed the course of the state.

The Emperor was responsible for Foreign Trade. Foreign Trade was necessary to introduce new ideas and technology and to find alleys.

Acupuncture: Diagnose & Treatment.

The Center is part of Triangel (Winter (Possibility), Summer (Practice)). This Triangel is the path of Invention (idea->action) in PoC. Communion looks like Yin and Agency looks like Yang. The Sheng-Cycle is a Fractal-cycle. It is applicable at the level of the Emperor and the state and the level of the body and on all the levels you find the same “tools” to diagnose and to cure..

The generating  cycle, , is a 1->1 relationship of nourishment and Support of one element by another. In the same way that a Mother nourishes her child, so does each of the elements nourish its “Child” element.

A Mother/Child-relationship is what we would call a Causal Relation in a predestinated order that is a Cycle.

The order is the order of the Sun Cycle in which order the seasons are also called organs.

The organs have a relationship with what we call the organs in the body but they are not matter but an Energy Pattern comparable with the Energy-patterns One Mae Who talks about in this blog.

The Controlling Cycle represents relationships which prevent any given element from becoming overwhelming or too powerful in relation to the system as a whole.

In terms of our family-relationships metaphor, it is the “grandmother” that exerts this healthy control over the “grandchild” element

In the West we name the Grandmother-relation a Feed-Forward of Feed-Backward-Relation.

For an explanation of Acupuncture-read this blog. (1): Acupuncture(theory) (2) diagnosis(theory).

For years, I have watched my patients,

The diagnosis is done at the Pulse. This is the place where all the Elements (Points of View)/Organs) get together. By pressing softly at the left or the right pulse a “Pattern” is felt that feels like a wave.

The pattern of the wave is an indication of the Harmony of the Body and the places where balancing is needed. Pressing simulates an Event. The “system” reacts with a reaction to an event.

The same happens when we create a very small Electro Magnetic Field . This event stimulates the Immune-System of the Body. The E/M-field is the Force of Life (Chi).

We could implement the same system by creating a monitor that samples data that represent the World-Views.

China and India are examples of cultures that used their knowledge and experience to manage society. They believed in Cycles and Harmony. The last Emperor was taken by the Mandate of Heaven and had to surrender to the new rulers of the communist party.

This is the end of this blog. In the last chapter (18) I will summarize and introduce a new step in my research.

18. The end

Summary:

The State is at the End of its Lifecycle:

History:

It started with isolated Hunter Gatherers that lived in Paradise.


They became a Tribe that settled down in a Proto-City.

The Bronze Age

Amazon Tribes Gather To Make Resistance Plan To Protect Their AmazonThe Yaminawá people in Brazil

When the Climate Changed the Tribes moved to the Caves.

Cappadocia, Turkey
In the caves the Humans discovered Total Darkness, the Light of the Imagination and translated Pictures into Sounds.

Using mainly red pigments and sometimes black, groups of animals, hand stencils, engravings, dots, discs and geometric designs are depicted in the cave paintings.

The proto-settlements turned into cities. One of the oldest is Jericho.

archaeologists have unearthed the remains of 20 successive settlements in Jericho, dating back 11,000 years.

The cities became City-states and because of the Distribution of Labor (mostly by Slaves) they were able to feed big Armies .

The Leaders of the settled tribes turned themselves into Gods and became Kin-g.

The city-states close to the Sea and the Silk-roads became Rich and Powerful and expanded into Countries.

The kin-gs united the City-States and The State was Born.

The Kin-gs became Pope or Emperor. All the time their Magical attributes and Supporters (the Tribes) did not change until the Slaves killed the Kin’gs.

Holy Roman Emperor Charlemagne
Charlemagne united most of Western Europe for the first time since the Roman Empire, and spurred the Carolingian Renaissance. Sometimes called the ‘Father of Europe’.

File:Anonymous - Prise de la Bastille.jpg
The French Revolution ended the Power of the Kin’gs and of their Gods and created the concept of the Cooperative.

The Enlightment.

The Roots of Rationalism can be found in the Enlightment.

In the 18th century Rational Man, not God, got into the Centre.

The Scientists and Philosophers of the Enlightment were obsessed by Objectivity and Perfection.

In their view, Objectivity and Perfection can only be accomplished by controlling the subjective parts, the Emotions and the Imagination of the Human Being.

The subjective parts are part of the Body and the Body is Impulsive and Illusionary. The Warm Chaotic Sensual Body detracts the Cold Analytic Brain.

The Rationalists created the Corporations, the Mass Production System and the Mass Media. Every structure in the rational ecology is designed to perform its own Specialized task.

The Mass Media create the Demand for the Products that the Mass Production Systems have to deliver.

The Rationalists put the Brains at the Top of the Hierarchy of the Corporations and the Brain in the Operating System of the Computer.

They eliminated the Craftsman and the Laborers and replaced them with the Perfect always Obedient Objective Human, the Robot.

red and black robot statue

Rationalism is turning every local Diversity into a global Monoculture. Everything can be Quantified and Everything, even Life itself, can be Engineered (Bio-Engineering).

The Big Problems Earth is facing can be solved by new Technology and Enough Capital to Invest.

It is just a matter of Time and the totally Engineered World will be a Fact of Life. If Earth cannot be saved we will simply move into Space and find another Place to Live.

The Ecology of the State:

In this blog I try to show that we have to believe in Self-Regulation which means that the first step to create the State of the Future is to de-Regulate.

Self-regulation is A State without a Government (Anarchy) or ““an inclusive, universal system of governance in which all may participate meaningfully.” This could be a State as a Cooperative.

The Panarchy Model with the Four Views of PoC visible in the Colors of PoC,
Two Symmetrically Coupled Cycles. connecting two ecologies.

The theory of PanAnarchy. is “a conceptual framework to account for the dual, and seemingly contradictory, characteristics of all complex systems.”

Panarchy explains Ecologies by using a Taoistic view on the world. An ecology has a Yin and a Yang side or in terms of PoC it combines Agency (Yang, Unity, Order) and Communion (Yin, Cooperation). This order is a observed or Emergent order not an enforced order.

This order could result out of an Entrained System,

The four stages of the Adaptive Cycle are  analogous to Birth, Growth, Maturation, Death and Renewal and have Three properties that determine the dynamic characteristics of each cycle:

  • (1) Potential sets the limits to what is Possible
  • (2) Connectedness determines the degree to which a system can control its own destiny through Internal controls, as distinct from being influenced by External variables
  • (3) Resilience determines how Vulnerable a system is to unexpected disturbances.

A new Research-project.

The model below is a result of the research of Alan Fiske. See chapter 6. It relates the four geometries with four Social Relationshipsmodels of Fiske.

I have created a new blog for this chapter push here to go on.

The Geometry of the State.
The Geometry of the State in Dutch.
The Geometry of the State as a Fusion of Anti-Fragility Panarchy and PoC.

This chapter is now a new blog.

About The Future of the State

Introduction.

are you interested in a possible new Design of the State? Read this.

This blog started as (and is still) a blog about the Future of the State we are part of.

In the first version of this blog (now Part 3) I detected that The Democratic State is a Facade for an Aristocratic Elite (“A TRIBE). This has been the case since the first King of Ur Gilgamesh returned after the Great Flood.

It looks like the state is collapsing everywhere in the world and a Big new type of state (China) is growing and expanding based on Big Brother Technology,

The 2nd version of this blog ended with a search into the history of the State.

During this search I detected that our Ancient Forefathers build advanced Forecasting Systems like Stonehenge to predict Calamities. It looks like we are now not prepared to face such a calamity.

In Part 2 I introduce Bruno Latour with his ideas about the new Constitution. It looks like Bruno is pointing to a Political Ecology which is a nice way to look into the Future.

In Part 7 you will find a List of Chapters of the previous versions.

Today I have started a new Blog to discuss a Design for a new State .

The Code behind Stonehenge
ccording to Hopi Myth we now live in the Fourth World. This World is Ending Soon. What will the Fifth World bring?Probably a new Great Flood that will come when the Earth Magnetc Field Moves.

 

Konstantin Meyl: Why the Earth is Growing, The Magnetic Field is Turning and the Big Flood will come after we connect with a Super Nova.

 

The Earth is facing many Calamities all the time. Many of them are cyclic and therefore predictable. In old times the Timekeepers of the State watched the Sky to make sure nothing bad was coming.
This is a short clip made from the documentary Entheogen – Awakening the God Within.entheogen documents the emergence of techno-shamanism in the post-modern world that frames the following questions: How can a renewal of ancient initiatory rites of passage alleviate our ecological crisis? What do trance dancing and festivals celebrating unbridled artistic expression speak to in our collective psyche? How do we re-invent ourselves in a disenchanted world from which God has long ago withdrawn?

According to Behavioral Economics Humans are highly Confused Predators. As a Predator Humans Protect their Territory with every means possible. They are Confused because they are incapable to Observe and Reason about their own behavior and the behavior of others. The predators are often called Hawks and their victims Doves.

A lot of people don’t believe or don’t know that the Spirit of Inspiration is a Conscious Being.

This spirit is specialized in The current Time (Anima Mundi) or Place (Genius Loci). The Russian Philosopher Bahktin called the combination of Place and Time, the Chronotype.

The Twilight of Democracy. :by Ann Applebaum. The book. describes how the Power of the State was grabbed in Poland, Hungary, Bulgaria, Brazil and now Italy and probably the USA and the UK.

In all of these countries the Leaders change the rules of the Game of Politics to get a Majority and take control over the Media especially the Social Media.

The Treason of the Clerks by Julien Benda. One of the arguments of Applebaum is taken from the book of Julien Benda. He shows how Intellectuals join a powerful group by Changing their Arguments using powerful Rhetorical tools.

It happened in Germany to stay out of trouble of the Nazi’s and the Russians in East Germany but also in the US in the time of Mccarthy and in Turkey during the time of Erdogan.

We are forgetting to Ask our Creator-Ancestors for Guidance. We have forgotten that that they are able to See the Future from a Far-Away Perspective.

The Nation State has a very long history that begun when Humans started to Organize themselves in the Stone Age.

Certain Civilizations (Egypt, Sumer, Inca) were (Re)Created at About the Same Time by comparable entities Enki (Sumer), ( Thoth Egypt) ( Viracocha, Inca ) who warned us for possible recurring Disasters (f.i. the Great Flood, the End of Civilization ).

God Ea, seated, holding a cup. From Nasiriyah, southern Iraq, 2004-1595 BCE. Iraq Museum.jpg
Enki.
Hermes Trismegistus
Thoth, Hermes Trimegistres.

 

ABouthe irst City of Eridu: Sumer Akad and the man Joannes that came out of the Sea.

The Creators of the old Civilizations build Celestial Observation Centers (like Stonehenge, Machu Picchu, Carnac,..) all over the World to determine the exact moment in Time of the recurring Calamity.

Stonehenge

It is remarkable that they warned us for what is happening in our time.

The same warning comes from leaders of very old civilizations like the Maori, the Aboriginals but also of the Hopi.

According the Hopi Prophesy Three Previous Human Worlds were destroyed when people became Greedy, Worshipped technology as a god, Fought and Hurt each other, and repeatedly forgot the Ethical teachings they’d been given to Honor the Earth as the Source of life and sustenance. Our Fourth World is dying.

Hopi Phrophesy

The first State after the Flood was a City State called Ur. City-states expand into big states by increasing wealth, taken over othe states by violence or negatitation. States are destroyed by a disaster or war or internal conflcicts.

States and city-states look like organisms.

A City-State is a Distribution System. It distributes Wealth (Surplus, Food, Energy, Knowledge, Human Labor) between rich and poor people.

A State with an unBalanced Distribution system will Collapse.

Because of the Growing (Niche Weather, Fertile, soil) Surplus The Organizatonal Sructures of the States and the States themselves grew bigger and bigger and behaved as humans behaved because humans used them for their Own Benefit.

States grew by Expanding or by taking over other states.To expand states fused but also took over control which was most of the time done with a lot of Violence.

To stay alive States had to increase the amount of soldiers and make or invent new weapons.

Small States fuse into bigger structures like the European Union to benefit from the Protection of a bigger state.

Most of the time the soldiers were children out of the underclass of the state. To motivate the soldiers States became something to Die for.

States Act like humans because humans always Project humans in Agents that show an active behavior. These agents take over the role of the Parent (mostly the Father). States became a Substitute for the Family.

Currently we see a lot of Competing states that compete with other structures that coordinate Human Behavior.

Big Global Companies are sometimes more Powerful than States.

The most innovative state of the state, the constitutional state (See Part 2) has to be innovated to Integrate all of the organizational structures currently available.

If this is not done one of the new structures will Take over Control.

Current Technology is able to Control and Manipulate billions of people by Changing their behavior

Big Brother is real and wide awake waiting to Rule the World.

This blog will show you what the Big Troubles were created by not turning back to the roots of the human structures, Mother Nature connected with .the Moon Cycles

The only Ancient Culture that is still in Tune with Mother Nature lives in Australia and in New Zealand.

Let us Copy their behavior or start looking for a Place to Hide perhaps in the Old Caves in Capadocia.

Corroboree an Australian Aboriginal dance ceremony which may take the form of a sacred ritual or an informal gathering.Central Australia near Tenant Creek Northern Territory, NT Australia

Part 1: Surviving in a Cave Looking for the Secret Grove of the State.

What are all the Megalyths doing? It looks like they were Showing the Way to the Stars in an ancient landscape that was almost totally covered with Woods.
Archeology uses Astronomy to explain what all the ancient Megalyths are doing. They show that our ancestors knew a lot about the Stars and their Cycles and the Important connections between the Cycles and Nature. In this way they were able to predict important changes in Nature like Spring and Autumn.
Atlantis
Prehistoric wooly mammoth hunters using bows and arrows
Hunter Gatherers cooperate to kill a Mammoth: Picture out of an Article in the Gardian.
The Bronze Age
Reconstruction of a a Bronze Age ettlement (a Proto-City) in Dartmoor Wales.

The State started as a small City-State surrounded by Walls where the Keeper of the Storage of the Food became a King.

The word King comes from kin (related by birth, bloodline) probably with a God (the first Creator). It is well known that in history powerful kings openly declared that they were a God.

Jericho.is probably the oldest continually-inhabited city.

Walls of Jericho.

Archaeologists have unearthed the remains of 20 successive settlement dating back 11,000 years.

he old walls of Jericho were part of a very old Proto-City.

an Old Sanctuary in the Fertile Crescent, Goebeli Tepe, Turkey, 10.000 BC
Recently Scientists have detected the existence of an old Cataclism that caused the end of Atlantis. They assume that Kobele Tepie was created by the people who survived the disaster

Humans are Toolmakers.

One of the most interesting inventions was the Boat that made people Look at the Sky to navigate and detect the cycles and the important moments in the cycles (Spring).

Cappadocia, Turkey
Ancient rock-cut church and cave dwellings in Cappadocia, Anatolia Turkey. Capadocia was called Phrygia in old times.

Below the Churches vast Underground Cities were found. They were used to hide from the Invasions of the Sea People.

They were people that migrated with their catlle and boats out of Iran and Turkey later returning from Europe to their Homeland.

Many ancient citystates were destroyed in the Bronze Age Collapse. This happened because of the attack of the Sea People, a huge force of returning seafaring hungry people from Europe because of a sudden Climate Change caused by a Vulcano in Iceland.

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/d/d5/Relief_Sherden_Breasted_2.jpg

The State looks like a Beehive.

Phrygia is well known for the Gordian Knot a puzzle solved by Alexander the Great and its King Midas who wanted to create Gold with his touch.

The Goddess of the Phrygians was Cybele, an old Moon Goddess. At that Time the culture was Matriarchal.

 
Beehive Houses Harran Turkey.

Cybele was the Goddess of the Bees. She originated from a big Black Stone, a meteorite, fallen from Heaven. This Stone became the Kaaba, the Black Stone in Mecca.

The Statue of Cybele was always accompanied by a priesthood of eunuchs who dressed like bees.

The male priesthood castrated themselves during an ecstatic celebration, called the Day of Blood’, which took place on 24 March.

Cybele carries the Wall of a City as a Crown on her head.

Cybele the Mother Goddess with her Lions

Cybele and her priests played an important role in Rome by keeping the Cybilline Books that contained prophesys about the End of the State of Rome.

The methaphor of the Cave must have come from the ancient cavedwellers. All of them developed the same concepts probably related to the Bee-hive of Queen Bee Cybele containing citizen-Working-Bees that provided for the Food of the state.

Egypt was known as the land of the bee, its kings were called ‘beekeepers’ and the founders of the Nile Valley appear to have travelled from the Source of the State Mesopotamia with bees in their boats after the flood, circa 3,000 BCE.

Egypt became one the most stable Nation States on earth for a very long time.

It produced, because of the cyclic flooding of the Nile, a vast amount of Food, was so Wealthy that it was able to defend itself by hiring Mercenaries, even against the Sea People and was therefore able to store a long history of knowledge in its Archives that were taken over by new rulers, the Greek (Alexander the Great) and later the Romans. Alexander was extremely impressed by the Priests of the center of knowledge Heliopolis.

Heliopolis attracted many intelligent people from all over the world to learn the State of the Art in Navigation, Prediction, Architecture, History etc.

About the Hunter Gatherers.

The Maori Culture and the of Australia Aboriginals are the oldest culture on earth.

The Maori made a conscious choice not to start Agriculture but to live from Mother Earth.

The Hunter Gatherers developed an intuitive knowledge of what Mother Nature needed. In these cultures only people with a “gift”, the shamans, become priests.

The Origins of the State according to Plato.

The roots of the State go back to Greece where Plato wrote about it. He believed in a city-state he called kallipolis. The state was ruled by a Philosopher King.

Plato got his teachings in Heliopolis, the Center of Wisdom of Egypt and the whole world at that time. His teacher was the Horite priest, Sechnuphis. His teachings came from Thot also called Hermes Trismegistus. Plato mixed the ancient teachings with the dialogs in his books.

The Books of Thot.

The books of the ancient library of Heliopolis were transported to Alexandria and later to Byzantium, , the Center of the new Roman Empire. Later they were taken to Venice and played an important role in the Renaissance.

Part 2: Bruno Latour: About The New Constitution.

Latour speaks about the New Constitution.

A Constitution is a Law that Controls Laws, a Meta-Law.

Accoding to Latour a State is an Ecology.

To formulate the right Laws we have to Solve the Distinction Between Hard and Soft, Science (Facts) and Politics (Society, Values) ,  Nature and Culture, Thing and Subject.

The adaptive cycle as a dynamic map for resilience thinking
The theory of complex dynamic systems called Panarchy describes the periodic, rhythmic dance of the spiral of the holy spirit between order and chaos, between stability and transformation as a fundamental pattern of self-organization in complex (living) systems

An Ecology (= a State) Grows when the parts of the ecology are not too connected (“autonomous“) and the Wealth of the Economy is widely available for action.

The Panarchy Cycle ends with the end of the Ecology (in the Conservation-state), This state is always saved in a Sacred Grove.

I hope that you realize that the Sacred Grove of the state is kept alive in the Maori- and Aboriginal Culture and in humans that are able to Feel and/or See, the new Bards and Druids.

In a Conservation-state a State (a Political ecology) is old and fragile only busy with itself, spending all of its energy (wealth) to reproduce

The windows of a Cathedral show the Spiral of Life. Cathedral are always build on a Sacred Grove.
The Medicine Wheel is the basic form of Model of the Cycle seen in the way animals behave. .

The Sacred Grove was the place were the Spiritual Buildings (Churches/Cathedrals) were build by the Priests of te Old Orders. Atlas (“the Mapmaker“) and the creator of Atlantis shows the Maps that were made to Navigate all over the World and to Predict the Future by projecting Time in Space (f.i Lightyear).

To find the Future of the State we have to research the time we lived in the Caves,

Politicians have to realize that the State is an Ecology that Contains a Diversity of Matter (Things) and Life Forms (subjects) and

Scientists have to realize that Objects are also Actors, they move and/or are a cause and/or an Effect .

Politicians (Thinking(Unity) <->, Feeling (Social) <–> Manipulate and negociate Consensus and

Scientists (Thinking (Unity) , Sensing <–> Make, Analyze) ) have to realize that besides their Archetypes there are other Archetypes like Seeers (INtuiting) and Empats (Feeling). that Play a Role in the Cycle of Paths of Change.

Paths of Change mapped to the Tarot where Mythic (= Imagination, idea, Intuitive, Seeer, Cups), Social (= Opinion, Status, Emotion, Feeling, Pentacles), Sensory ( Fact, Experience, Wands, Action, Grow) and Unity (= Knowledge, Order, Rule, Law, Swords).
The Parliament of Things has to make a full Rotation of PATHS OF CHANGE with the Clock (Generating, Producing) or and / or Against the Clock (Consuming). With and Agaianst the Clock = a Moebius Ring). Observe the MOEBIUS RING in the Picture of PANARCHY Above and Below.

Does the New Constitution, the new Meta Law also apply to Things-Animals and Things- Machines (Robots)?

Who will Speak for the Lakes, the ozon layer, the Trees and the Self-driving Cars in the Parliament of Things.

Are the Laws of Nature in conflict with the New Constitution or are they the same Laws (and what are these Laws)?

In Chapter 9 of this blog you will see that Humans and Animals (and even Viruses and Bacteria apply the (Ethic) Principle of Tit-for-Tat, a solution to the Infinitely Repeated Prisoners Dilemma.

We are all kept in the same Prison that is Nature and our only way to get out is to Collaborate with all of the Life-Forms.

Part 3: What is Happening?

We are witnessing a Global Transformation in which the old Organizational Mass Structures are Loosing their Power and the Struggle between the Hawks (Rich, Influentional) and the Doves (Poor, Isolated) comes back.

History Repeats itself in a completely different Context filled with Big Brother Technology.

Is it possible to create a Big Brother State that citizens Love to live in?

It looks like (Surveillance Capitalism) could become our Big Friend by Automating Us.

Jared Diamond. Societies collaps because of environmental problems (“climate, too Dry, too Cold,..) combined with External and Internal Conflicts and the Resilience of the Society, (the Way the Citizens are able to Solve their own Problems), is low.
The Panarchy 4D Model of Ecologies fits the development of the Sate. It shows that Resilience is a combination of Connectedness and Wealth (Resources). When a State is too connected (“Burocratic“) and has not distributed its Wealth between the Rich and the Poor it will Collaps.

Part 4: The History of the State.

The State was invented in Sumer translated in Akkadian as the “Land of the Civilized Kings”.

Their forefathers moved from a hunter-gatherer society to an Agrarian one prior to 5000 BCE.

The Kings and their High Priests invented Cuneiform script, the Wheel, the Sail Boat, Irrigation, Law, Diplomacy, Trade, Bookkeeping and astrology.

Machu Picchu, A December Solstice Observatory of the Inca.The Inca’s are part of the Norte Chico Civilization that existed at the same time as Sumer. The December Solstice was observed all over the world. The civilization of the Inca’s was destroyed by the Spanish Golddiggers who killed for Christ and brought many Diseases that killed the Inca too,

Part 5: Theory of the State.

State formation is explained by The production of surplus (Wealth) resulting in a division and specialization of labor: leading to Classes who worked the land and to those who could devote their time to other tasks including astrology and warfare.

Large societies tend to develop Ruling classes and supporting Bureaucracies (Systems, Connectedness) , which leads to larger organizations that want to Control the world.

When the state is too dependent on systems the state will collaps when a Not Expected Disaster takes place (a Black Swan or a Dragon King.).

For a very long time the Hierarchy was the most important Control-System in Use.

Currently the Center of the System is moving from the Top to the Bottom because of the Rise of Communication Technology (Internet).

Part 6: Summary.

A big part of this blog is about the State we live in called the Constitutional State, the Nation State or the Rechtsstaat.

All of them are highly Dependent on the Belief that People are regulated by Laws and that there is something behind all these Laws which is an Eternal principle that represents the Good.

A deep (but not very difficult) analysis shows that the State is an instrument to benefit a certain Elite (A Tribe?) that is Sustained by the Systems of the State in which the Educational System is the most important.

The article by William I. Robinson: Gramsci and Globalisation: From Nation‐State to Transnational Hegemony shows that the current Social Networks of Local Elites connect on the World level and are influenzing the Global Nation States.

The extreme wealthy creators of the Global Social-Network Technology know that they are able to Control the World with a Silent Revolution in which the Needs of their users can be changed to live in a new type of Paradise in which the old Roman theory of controlling their citizins with Food & Play will Lead the Way.

Part 7.List of Chapters.

This list contains numbered summaries of the chapters of this blog from now. It makes it possible to Jump into the blog without missing much.

Watch out: THis Blog is still in Development. It will not be the same in a few weeks from now.

Comment? <-click there.

2: What is a State?

A State was an instrument to support the Ruler of a Boundary in Space called a City State.

The Rulers became Omnipotent when they transformed themselves into a God.

Nice to Monaco

THe City State Monaco.

3. History of the State starting with the GREAT FLOOD.

Before the Great Flood Humans were organized in Tribes and later in Kingdoms. Most of the humans were owned by other humans.

After the Industrial Revolution the Slaves started a Revolution and the Kings had to share their Power with the Many still divided in the Rich and the Poor.

People no longer felt they were Owned by some Ruler; instead they now gave their Loyalty to something bigger, the Nation-state.

4. The Constitutional State.

This is a new concept in which the “good” is put into a General accepted Meta-law (a law that rules over other laws) chosen by a Majority of people. The big problems with a Meta-System is that it not bounded. It suffers Infinite Regress.

The big problem with a not bounded Constitution is that it will eventually cover All of the Humans, the Animals, the Territory of Earth (UNO) or even Space.

5. The problems of the Constitutional Sate.

To service its citizens the Rechtsstaat starts Companies that operate in the for- and the non-profit Market.

These Companies are now sold (or “given”) to the rich elite or the rich global companies that are now controlling the world.

Poor Citizens are paying Taxes for the benefit of the rich others.

This is Splitting the State and gives Opportunistic Leaders (Populist) the chance to drive their followers into a Renaissance of the Fascist State.

The STaat is also competing with other rechtsstaats (EU, UNO, ..). that control the “lower” rechtstaat giving the Nationalists the opportunity to dissolve structures that were created to Prevent a 3de World-war.

6. The End of the Nation State.

States are connected to a physical boundary. The United Nations relate to Earth.

The perspective of Humanity changed when we were able to see the Earth in the Middle (Bible, Creation Story) the Sun in the Middle ( Science Copernicus) to the Center of the Milkey Way in the Middle (Hubble Telescope, Technology).

The Cycle of History is moving to the Center. Our movement into Space_ generates a new (Space)-Spirituality created by the Meta-Myth of Joseph Gampbell that motivates people to leave Earth and move to Mars or even further.

7. About Anarchy and Terroism.

The Institutions of the state and the Elite that controls the state have been an object of Destruction for a very long time. Until now the State seems to be Resilient/ Anti-fragile. It restores and grows from Chaos.

8. Living in Caves. The Pre-Historic State.

What can we learn from the time Humans were not part of a State (and part of a Tribe).What we can learn is that a lot of the experience of that time is put into our culture and in our myths and religion.

9: Are Humans different from Animals & Organisms.

Organisms & Animals “create” organizational structures that look like States. How different are we from organisms and our cousins the Apes. An important feature we don’t want to see is Synchronization. It helps dictators to control the masses.

10. Diverging States?

In 1989 The Berlin Wall fell and the western Nation-State became the “normal” model of the World. After that moment old conflicts started all over again. The same happened when the world wanted to get rid of “real” Dictators like Saddam Hoessein.

States are not a computer program that controls citizins, we can Restart.

States revert to their Initial State which is a Tribal Structure in which Violence is a normal tool to control the Population.

The New Leaders Copy the Story of the Ancient Leaders by Remembering old Stories about Lost Battles. This happened everywhere in the World from YugoSlavia to Ruanda.

Dictators with the use of State Violence control latent conflicts.

States are a very Complex Balancing Act in which many Powers are Neutralized.

A debate with Francis Fukuyama, Professor of Political Science Stanford University

11. The Techno-State.

In 1999 I wrote a document called MOVING UP and MOVING DOWN Ideas and opinions about the connection between Small Scale specialized human networks and large scale collaborative IT-technology.

It shows that we are moving to a connected Collaborative Space mostly called the Internet (or Hyperspace).

Hyperspace is now owned by big Global companies like Google and Facebook that Sell and Predict the Activity-profiles in Hyper- and Physical Space of many people on earth.

1.Introduction.

This blog is the result of an increasing frustration about the Performance of the State I live in (The Netherlands).

My Government acts without a vision, spends a huge amount of (tax)money and makes nistake after mistake most of the time in the use of Technology but also in providing effective Healthcare, Education, Protection, etc etc.

I Spend a few weeks reading thinking and writing about the State and came to the conclusion that we are facing the end of the Nation State.

It looks like Big Brother is already there and we are facing a situation in Europe that looks like the rise of the Totalitarian fascists States around 1933.

Is history repeating?

2. What is a Sate?

A Nation State is a Top Down Management Structure that controls a lot of people that share a lot. Currently the Top (Government) is loosing its power to other powers (Companies) .

In this last case the Nation State will transform into a Network of Special Economic Zones comparable to Hong Kong that provide a Tax-haven and a Secure haven to the very Rich. .

People that look alike synchronize and turn into a crowd that follows the directions of the Leader if he (or she) uses the Rhetoric of the Common Enemy. Most of the influentual Dictators were aware (by instinct or training) that they could bring a huge amount of people in Sync doing things they never believed that was Possible.

Crowds Synchronize when they look at the same thing.

Nation States are fragmenting into small Cultural Identities.

The State is defefined by Max Weber as a polity that maintains a Monopoly on the use of violence.

The Greek philosopher Aristotle believed that questions of the State, how it should be organized, and how it should pursue its ends, were fundamental to the achievement of happiness. Aristotle was aquainted with the City-State of Athens.

Acropolis Athens

The State we live in is the result of a Top-Down/Bottom Up process that repeats itself many times.

States start as small City States, and grow into Big Burocratic States.

Burocratic states are highly fragile and are therefore easily destroyed by a calamity or taken over by groups of violent people specialized in warfare that are triggered by famine caused by a change of climate or a change of the environment caused by human activity (desert creation, the industrial revolution).

Another cause of the end of a state can be found in internal conflict between competing groups often part of the Rulers (Masters) and the Ruled (Slaves).

This conflict can result in a Split of the state and or a Fusion of comparable parts. India and the Us are an example of both in which Religion was the cause of the split and a Cultural Likeness (“Capitalistic, Calvinistic) the reason of a Fusion.

The Huns, especially under their King Attila, made frequent and devastating raids into the Eastern Roman Empire. invaded Italy and almost conquered Rome.

Chinese government build big walls to protect the country against the Mongols.

Great Wall, China

In time the Victors fill in the old framework of the burocracy with their own people and the system becomes fragile again.

Systems (and humans) Reproduce themselves with Parts that reproduce themselves ( autopoiesis. ).

3. History of the State.

The next Great Flood will probably not be caused by a collision with a meteorite but by the melting of ice caused by the rising of temperature caused by Climate Change.

The repeating process of State-production was stopped by and started again after the Great Flood. This happened around 3117 BC.

After the Flood had swept over the earth and when kingship was lowered again from heaven, kingship was first in Kish. . . . in Uruk the divine Gilgamesh . . . ruled 126 years . . . its kingship was removed to Ur

Hero lion Dur-Sharrukin Louvre AO19862.jpg
Gilgamesh.

The City State of Ur.

Ur was a new .start. Soon the City States started to make war and grew into a bigger structure.

Ur has always been an important location, a harbor, part of the trade-routes that connected the East and the West. Because of the Trade The rulers (Male and/or Female) of Ur became very rich.

Rulers become God and The High Priest gets te power.

Extreme richness, Power and Praise often leads to many psychological disorders (described by Interpersonal Theory) including Histrionic, believing your Fantasy is true ) Narcissism (extreme self-esteem) and Paranoia (Believing that Everybody is a Threat).

Shulgi, the greatest king of the Third Dynasty of Ur, who solidified the hegemony of Ur and reformed the empire into a highly centralized bureaucratic state. Shulgi ruled for a long time (at least 42 years) and deified himself halfway through his rule.

The transformation from ruler to God brought the King to the highest state of Power. Many rulers copied this behavior and many new Gods appeared making life very complex.

At the time of Shulgi rulers were often adviced by Magi that had a lot of knowledge about Mass Manipulation, Personal Magic and Medicine. When the rulers became God the Magi became the High Priest.

 

Persian Magician.

Monotheism.

The Egyptian Pharao Akhenaton who was probably the Master of the Biblical Mozes Defined one God as the principal God. He started a new trend Monotheism based on the worship of Aten (the Sun Disk) .

In the Egyptian state the Priests were very powerful. They rebelled against Akhhenaton and restored the cult of Ammon.

Ahkenaton worships the Sun.

Ancient Israelite religion was originally polytheistic; the Israelites worshipped many deities including El, Baal, Asherah, and Astarte. Yahweh was originally the national god of the Kingdom of Judah.

The ancient economies of China, the Incan Empire, the Indian Empires, Babylon, Greece, and the various kingdoms of Africa operated on principles of reciprocity and redistribution with a very limited role for markets.

Cycles: History repeats itself.

Below you see a picture of a cycle-generator that generates Cycles in Cycles (etc). Cycles are driven by harmonic patterns that have a lot in common with music (“the Music of the Spheres“).

The Waves and the Overtones of the cycle going Up and Down can be described with recurring themes part of a five-fold-pattern (Pentangle). This pattern shares the four World Views of Path of Change (PoC) with a center which represents a whole. . PoC is a very old theory about Change that was discovered by Will McWhinney.

Kondratiev Cycle has a cycle-time of 52 years. Currently we are in a State called a Spring. In Spring the economy is growing until it moves into a recession. Every step in the cycle is controlled by a specific issue related to a world-view of Paths of Change. The colors are reused in this blog. Green is Social, Blue is Control, Yellow is Imagination, RED is Action and White is Center/Whole (Geheel).
Cycle generator. desrcibed by a pentangle containing a pentangle etc shows how waves contain waves etc.

Two states of The State of Rome.

The Spiral of Time focused on Europe based on the Cycle of Bahktin.
The spiral of Time is based on Paths of Change Blue is control, Yellow is Imagination, Green is Social / conflict, White is Center and Red is Action/revolution. The white stage always starts a new Religion.

Rome was a state ruled by an elected emperor controlled by an elected parliament with representatives that were Roman Citizen.

Mitrash is slaying the white Bull. The Bull is a symbol for the the Star Sign Taurus.Taurus represents the Worldview Sensory.

Emperor Constantine the Great made Christianity the leading religion of Rome because it looked a lot like the belief of his soldiers the (persian) cult of Mitra. Mitra transformed into Archangel Michael.

The Emperor of Rome transformed into the Pope of Rome.

New Empires.

To the Romans, anyone who was not a citizen of Rome or who did not speak Latin was a barbarian. In Europe there were five major barbarian tribes – the Huns, Franks, Vandals, Saxons, and Visigoths (Goths) – and all of them wanted to destroy Rome.

The rulers of the barbarians soon created kingdoms, empire-states that took over the rule of Rome. As always the expansion of the new Empires generated conflicts and war.

The Secular State.

In the renaissance the Zeitgeist of Europe turned into the state of Imagination/Spirit.

The Bible was translated in the languages of the empires and a unique interpretation of the Christian Faith turned into a Work Ethic based on the theories of Calvin.

Cpitalism and the freedom of Faith were born. The State left the field of religion and the Secular _State was born.

The State of the (Capitalistic) Hawks.

“The German sociologist Franz Oppenheimer (1864-1943), said, there are only two ways for men to acquire wealth.

The first method is by producing a good or a service and voluntarily exchanging that good for the product of somebody else.

This is the method of exchange, the method of the free market; it’s creative and expands production; it is not a zero-sum game because production expands and both parties to the exchange benefit.

Oppenheimer called this method for the acquisition of wealth the “Economic means“.

The second method is seizing another person’s property without his consent, i.e., by robbery, exploitation ND/OR looting.

horus

The Noble Price winning Economist Daniel Kahneman wrote a book called Hawkish Biasis in which he explains economic behavior with the same attitudes Exchange (cooperation, Dove) and competition (Hawk, war, immoral behavior).

Oppenheimer called the thawkish method of obtaining wealth “the political means.” And then he went on to define the state, or government, as “the organization of the Political means,” i.e., the regularization, legiti­mation, and permanent establishment of the political means for the acquisition of wealth of the Hawks (the Upperclass) .

Socialism, Communism and Equality.

Around 1789 Europe was in the Social State meaning that social-conflicts started to increase.

The French Revolution (1789) started a revolt of the underclass that was hit by an economic crisis caused by a change of the climate caused by an explosion of a vulcano in Iceland. After the revolution the Middleclass (Bourgeoisie) took over the power and created factories powered by the steammachine. This stage in history is called the Industrial Revolution.

The Industrial revolution created a new underclass, the proletariat. Marx following Hegel detected that World History follows Patterns

The French Revolution triggered the start of the Socialistic Movement in England that caused many revolutions in for instance Russia and China. Both are countries that are controlled by an Elite (“the Party“).

russian revolution historiography

Although most of the time not highly visible all countries with a State are controlled by an Elite that creates a Network connected to special Schools/Universities, Political Parties and big Companies or networks of specialized comparable Small companies (Farmers rtc).

Cultural Revolution poster.jpg

The State as an Selforganizing System.

Anthony Giddens (1985) stresses that the emergence of the “Internally Pacified State” that centralizes the Means of Violence and hence prevents Armed Struggles between opposed classes was accompanied and enabled by a large expansion of the apparatuses of Surveillance and Bureaucratic Administration.

Giddens argues that the nation state is a “Power Container” [Giddens, 1985: 13] that stores and concentrates Authorative and allocative resources and that with the rise of capitalism the nation state replaced the City as the most important power container.

The Institutions of the State are the Keepers of the Rules that facilitate the systems in the state to self-organize:

Can a human society be constrained in such a way that self-organization will thereafter tend to produce outcomes that Advance the Goals of the society? Such a society would be self-organizing in the sense that individuals who pursue only their own interests would none-the-less act in the interests of the society as a whole, irrespective of any intention to do so. This paper identifies the conditions that must be met if such a self- organizing society is to emerge. It demonstrates that the key enabling requirement for a self- organizing society is ‘consequence-capture’. Broadly this means that all agents in the society must capture sufficient of the benefits (and harms) that are produced by their actions on the goals of the society. ‘Consequence-capture’ can be organized in a society by appropriate management (systems of evolvable constraints) that suppress free riders and support pro-social actions. In human societies these constraints include institutions such as systems of governance and social norms. The paper identifies ways of organizing societies so that effective governance will also self-organize. This will produce a fully self-organizing society in which the interests of all agents (including individuals, associations, firms, multi- national corporations, political organizations, institutions and governments) are aligned with the interests of the society as a whole.

4. The Constitutional State.

At the turn of the nineteenth century, the constitutional state took its origin from a revolution against absolutist rule and feudal inequality.

‘Constitution’ as a revolutionary new concept of law meant as an ideal-type: written, supreme, secular law, decided by the people and regulating all public power.

Constitutional monarchy was the dominant type of constitutional state in Europe throughout the nineteenth century.

It was marked by a fundamental dualism between monarchical and parliamentary power, which tended towards parliamentarization and came to an end with complete constitutionalization and democratization of European states as an outcome of the First World War.

While the post-war years represented the apex of European constitutionalism, the deep European crisis of the 1930s with the rise of dictatorship destroyed the core function of constitutionalism, to legally bind state power, which came to be restored only gradually after 1989 for the whole of Europe.

Currently a big part of Europe is controlled by the European Union (EU) created 1-1-1958. The citizen support for the EU is in a steep decline culminating in the rise and come back of many nationalistic parties and the Brexit (Exit of Brittain).

5. The Future of the Dutch Constitutional State.

In 2003 the WRR ( Dutch Government Scientific Think Thank) wrote a report about the future of the Dutch Constitutional State called a Rechtsstaat.

A Rechtsstaat is a “constitutional state” in which the exercise of governmental power is constrained by the law.

The big problem not adressed in the document above is that Law is a symbolic system that could be in line with the Zeitgeist or otherwise.

It is almost impossible to program the citizins of a country unless the program is put into many examples that are thaught at primary school.

Louis Althusser is a Marxist Philosopher who claims that Education is the Foundation of the Ruling Power of the State.

Civil Society.

The ZeitGeist is currently in the State of the Center (Whole, White, Boundaries).

Citizins want to be treated as respected Individuals (Informalization) and are exploring boundaries (Intensivation) . Young people Cross boundaries, companies work without boundaries (Globalization) and countries define new boundaries.

The system of rules governing a rechtstaat is becoming too complex and the connected system becomes too bureaucratic, while capacity problems are arising on account of the large flow of applications, public participation procedures, complaints, pleas and proceedings against the government on the part of assertive citizens.

Competing Rule Systems.

Next to this there are many more “rechts states” (EU, UN) that are are creating and enforcing competing rule-systems.

The Service State moves to the Market.

Public services are what make the state visible to its citizens.

Public services are citizens’ direct line to government. They make the state tangible through an almost daily interaction, direct or indirect.

public infrastructure made the previously far away centres of power more accessible.

Currently many public services are given over to the Market making the state more and more invisible.

The Third Sector.

Especially in small cities and parts of big cities (comparable to city-states) a new third sector is growing that contains cooperatives of civilians that develop shared autarkic non-for-profit (social) functions like energy& food-production, care for the elderly etc etc. These functions are based on exchange of material and services (reciprocity ).

This a model based on Paths of Change that is based on reports of the Social Cultural Planning Bureau in the Netherlands described in this blog (in Dutch).

6. The End of the Nation State.

(THis part of Chapter 6 is Cited from a part of this long article out of the Guardian)

“Similar varieties of populism are erupting in many countries. Several have noted the parallels in style and substance between leaders such as Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, Narendra Modi, Viktor Orbán and Recep Tayyip Erdoğan.

All countries are today embedded in the same system, which subjects them all to the same pressures.

20th-century political structures are drowning in a 21st-century ocean of deregulated finance, autonomous technology, religious militancy and great-power rivalry.

Finally, the old superpowers’ demolition of old ideas of international society – ideas of the “society of nations” that were essential to the way the new world order was envisioned after 1918 – has turned the nation-state system into a lawless gangland“;

Everything that was structured most of the time by a Top Down Hierarchical Structure and Controlled by Lawmakers that enforce their own rules is now attacked by many new connected (by a Telecom Network) bottom-up structures that make it possible to Control and Direct the Individuals in the Masses with Highly Intelligent Big Brother technology.

A Model of a Human based on the Paths of Change (PoC)-model.

The 2nd part of Chapter 6 is cited out of an Article out of Forbes.

From Top to Bottom.

There is a strong popular demand for decisions to be taken at lower levels than Central Government

At the extreme, this has fuelled Iindependence movements in Scotland, Quebec, Catalonia and Western Sahara, not to mention Palestine and Kosovo. Less dramatically, we see an increasing devolution of Central Powers in most countries.

Multinational Corporations are more powerfull than Governments:  They operate globally, unrestricted by borders

The biggest tech companies are now richer than most countries, and foreign Governments find it very difficult to tax them properly on the profits they make.  

Hannah Arendt The Origins of Totalitarianism.

At the very center of Hannah Arendt’s analysis of The Origins of Totalitarianism is her insight into the decline of European Nation-States.

Nation-states were always based on a fiction so that the demanded Liberté, égalité and, fraternité demanded by liberal States was held to be compatible with the national Homogeneity of the Nation.

But as different Ethnic Groups demanded recognition and rights and as refugees advocated for rights within traditional nation-states, the Tension between legal equality and national recognition set the nations of Europe Against the states and led to the rise of Fascism in Italy and Totalitarianism in Germany.

Today there are similar indications that nation-states are once again failing and . that the rise of populist nationalist movements around the world is a response to the widespread failure of nation-states to address 21st century problems.

This is why a strange brand of Apocalyptic Nationalism is so widely in vogue. But the current appeal of Machismo as Political Style, the Wall-building and Xenophobia,the fantastical Promises of National Restoration – these are not cures, but symptoms of what is slowly revealing itself to all: nation states everywhere are in an advanced state of political and moral decay.

7.The History of Terrorism, Anarchy, The End of the State by Violence.

Deprivation (poverty, lack of education, lack of political freedom) can drive people to terrorism.

Late in the 19th century, Anarchist labor unions began to use the tactic of general strike. This often resulted in violence by both sides and some of the strikes even resulted in the Deaths of striking workers, their replacements and security staff. In this climate, some anarchists began to advocate and practice terrorism or assassination.

Violence Against the State is used by Groups of People (“Freedom Fighters”) who do not recognize that the current State represents the (Origional) Citizins and/or that the Law of the State is not the Accepted general Law (“Religious Fighters“) of a Culture that occupies the State.

Sometimes the State uses Violence to Control the Citizens of the State (State Terrorism).

8. Living in a Cave: Lessons from The Pre-Historic State of the Humans.

Alvin Toffler , The Third Wave, After, the Hunter Gatherers the State was caused by the move to Agriculture. The big question is what the State will become in the Third Wave or What is the Fourth Wave.
Translating Rock Art. It looks like the Ancient Rock Art contains the Symbols we see in Ancient writing.

The State was created when we,the humans Stopped Moving Around, Settled Down and started Agriculture. . The first place we settled down were Caves.

Using mainly red pigments and sometimes black, groups of animals, hand stencils, engravings, dots, discs and geometric designs are depicted in the cave paintings.
Oldest known cave art was made by Neanderthals, not humans

Outside the Cave Nature was filled with many Animals and Plants we could eat.

To Kill Animals we made Weapons and to make weapons we needed Fire and Iron. Powerful Weapons were filled with Magic.

Magic is a System that gives the Focused Human Belief-System to take the role of Observer in Quantum Mechanics.

Joseph Campbell — Jung and the Right and Left-hand Paths. The Cycle of Life moves with and Against the Clock.

With the Clock moves the Path of Creation, the Path of Birth, Light, Spring and Summer.
Against the Clock (the path of Darkness, Winter and Autumn) is the Path of Destruction making place for New Life
.

As a a human we have to Cope with Violent Acts like an Accident, the Killing of an Animal that looks like a Human and the Strange Transformations of our Body we encounter when we Grow from a Child to a Grown-up.

Our transformation follows the Path of the Hero.

 

This path has a lot in common with Paths of Change, a General Theory about Change.

The Meta-Myth, the Path of the Hero describes the way Humans move out of the patterns enforced by Society and the State and come back with a new Vision.
Paths of Change. based on the Spiral of the Universal One of Walter Russelll

The Humans in the Cave became Aware of the Cycles of the Day, The Year and the Equinox.

They crated Rituals to cope with Stress and to avoid Bad Luck.

OSEPH CAMPBELL: “After the animal has been killed, the hunter then has to fulfill certain rites in a a mystic participation with the animals whose death he has brought about, and whose Meat is to become his Life.

So the killing is not simply slaughter, at any rate, it’s a Ritual Act. It’s a recognition of your dependency and of the Voluntary Giving of this food to you by the Animal“.

Dr. Stephan Hoeller at the Gnostic Society in Los Angeles talks about MAgic and Animal Powers.
During the beginning of humanity certain people (now called Shamans) had the possibility to look at the other worlds and receive inspiration from higher entities sometimes called a God. The Shamans turned into the Priests until they were replaced by people who spoke the words of the High Priests.

The humans in the cave specialized and new Crafts came to life. The oldest “jobs” were the Firemaker and the BlackSmith. Both jobs were taken by Shamans. Important crafts were projected on the Gods.

In the Creation-Myths Gods like Ptah and Vulcan were worshiped as the Creator of all things and the patron of various crafts, such as Sculpting and Metalworking.

The Blacksmiths are the Makers & the Warriors.They have a lot in common with the Druids and Bards of the Celts and the Magi of Persia. A Blacksmith was called a Merlin in Celtic Culture.

dia41_h600px.jpg

Vulcan – God of fire and volcanoes as well as Smith of the gods

The Dagda is portrayed in Celtic Myth as a Father-figure, king, and druid.He owns a Magic Staff, which kills with one end and brings to life with the other, a Cauldron which never runs empty (Symbol of the Heart Chakra) , and a magic Harp which can control men’s emotions and Change the Seasons

The Ancient Egyptians Blacksmiths, the Heru-Behutet, are associated with the Power of the Serpent (“the Ka“) and the Winged Disk, the symbol of the Zodiac (Astrology).

Image result for Heru Behutet

Heru Behutet is shown as a Hawk-Headed Man bearing the double crown of Egypt, holding Metal Weapons, and more often as a Winged Disk flanked by a White and a Black Cobra (White and Black Alchemy).

Te story of Osiris (The Old King of Egypt, The Old Order, Blind, ISIS (Queen of the Underworld, Chaos looking for her Husband, Order and the brother of Osiris Seth (the Devil, Evil) He kills Osiris and Cuts him in 42 Pieces (the Number of the Nomes of Egypt) and distributes them all over Egypt.
ISIS makes love to his Penis and Horus the Falcon with the Eye of Insight is born who brings back order. A Horus and Isis are the Black Madonna (Mary Magdelena).


This is a good example of the Cycle of Paths of Change.

 

Th Black Madonna with the Child Jesus is Isis, the Mother of the Underworld with Horus the Child she got from Penis of Osiris, the Old King of Egypt and of Order.

The Mesniu had shaved heads, wore short tunics that exposed their chests, and bore either an inverted Lance or some other Metal instrument.

In the rear of their temples was situated a “Holy of Holies,” called the Mesnit, which was only accessible by the Mesniu. A Holy of Hollies is Fractal Model.

In the Bible the Blacksmiths are associated with the children of Tubal Cain. One of his descendants is Hiram, the Master Builder of the Temple of Solomon. Building big Buildings became an Art.

Ron Eglash. Fractal Patterns in African Culture.
Fractal African Village
The Fractal Pattern of an African Village with a Holy of Hollies.

In African Orisha Culture, the Ogun, the Blacksmiths are always isolated in a special group outside Society because they are the carriers of the Third, (Evil) Eye of Horus and are able to manipulate the Force of Life, Nyama or Ka (Chi, Prana, Ether, the Fifth Element).

Creative People are able to manipulate the Power that Creates.

Image result for biology status symbols birds sexual reproduction

As soon as the States were created Humans started to Trade & exchange Objects, Creating a new concept called Wealth.

Humans measure their Importance by the physical objects (including caves and animals) they own or are able to buy. They show their importance just like animals in the way they look, wear clothes and the Language they speak.

Humans are experts in detecting lying but we are experts in lying when we deceive ourselves.

There many types of animals that create and defend a Territory.

9. Are Humans different from Animals & Organisms?

Robert SaPolsky: We have much more in common with all kinds of Animals and organisms we think. We all synchronize because we all vibrate and produce signals sometimes of a chemical nature (pheromones).Hmans and Animals use a solution to the Prisoners Dilemma, Tit-for-Tat as a way to survive making Tit-for-Tat a Universal Law. Tit-for-tat is called an Eye for an Eye in the Bible.


The only thing we are different from is Abstraction Methaphor and Being Motivated by something that is Almost Impossible. We love to take Obstacles.
Another Explanation about How we are Different from Apes. We have slowed down and spend a lot of time imitating and producing other humans. We are excellent Copy-Machines.
Robert Trivers The Logic of Deceit and Self-Deception in Human Life Organisms decept to survive and Humans decept themselves. the primary reason we fool ourselves is to fool others“. Humans are exceptionally good at picking up various verbal and physical cues (e.g., speech intonation, eye movements,…) that indicate when another human is practicing deception.
There are many situations such as playing “chicken” and seeing who will back down first, where it can actually benefit an organism to deceive itself, by so doing the organism can better deceive others.

Multilevel Societies emerge from Cultural Transmissions.

Organisms create Complex Organisational structures that look like a State. They do that by Imitating others that look Similar or Act Similar. Acting Similar (Copying) is the reason for Synchronization.

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Object name is ncomms9091-f1.jpg
Empirical multilevel network depicting the three nested levels in the sperm whale society off the Galápagos Islands: individuals within social units within vocal clans.

 

10: States: What makes them Work?

Humans attribute a human Personality to an Active process (an Agent). The weather is nice and States look like a Father ANDor a Mother. or a Family.

George Lakoff is a specialist in Metaphor. A Metaphor is a function between two models.

For instance Freud made a model of the Human by Mapping the Human Body to a Steam Machine.

George Lakoff believes in his book Moral Politics that US Citizins see the State according to their party as a Nurturing Mother (Democrats) or a Strict Father (Republicans) part of a Family (Being a Tribe).

Metaphors are also often used to motivate a country going to a War or to perform another Violent Act.

States are often represented by Humans (Mother Russia) or a Bounded Location (the Heimat, Germany).

States are Born and Grow Up just like Humans.

Just like life a birth is not a gentle process but comes with stress and pain. The Big Battles between states live for many years and the Reason can be revoked to start a new Battle.

The same applies when a State was a Superpower in the past. States without a shared dramatic story don’t motivate citizens to support the state without asking questions.

The State works when the Citizens are able to Trust the state and or be Proud to be part of the state they live in. The state is Evaluated by its Activities but also by the people it represents (PoliticianS).

When we use model of Path of Change (picture below) we can see that Politicians combine Rules and Social (vice verse) which means that they play a Game in which they make a combination between What People Believe and What they Value and are PART OF A CYCLE in which ACTION and REFLECTION takes place.

The task of the Politician is to establish Consensus between the citizens of the State.

Paths of Change model applied to Communication.
Paths of Chhange Model applied to Making.
Moral Pilitics Georg Lakoff.

 

11 Will The Techno State bring Real Democracy?

Many thought the internet would spawn a Digital democratic utopia: Today, we witness the opposite Hacking elections and Polarizing open societies.

Democracy is not only about Voting but also about having a Voice to articulate what is Needed. Citizens want to participate in the beginning of a project and not only use the result. One of the possibilities is to Vote with the Tax you Pay .

Roslyn Fuller: Citizen Participation in an International Context

Participatory Budgeting (PB) is a democratic process in which community members decide how to spend part of a public budget. It gives people real power over real money.

PB started in Porto Alegre, Brazil, in 1989, as an anti-poverty measure that helped reduce child mortality by nearly 20%.

Since then PB has spread to over 3,000 cities around the world, and has been used to decide budgets from states, counties, cities, housing authorities, schools, and other institutions.

 

 

 

 

How to Make Everybody Happy

Obama wants to stimulate the US Economy by investing a Huge amount of Dollars in Infrastructure. He is not worried about the US Deficit. Big Spending is needed to create jobs and creating jobs is priority number one. If he is not worried about the Deficit I would advice him to change his plan and just give everybody in the US enough money to buy what they want. This would really boost the Economy in a very short time.

The US Deficit is rising and because of many factors (mainly the Baby Boomers) the deficit will rise to almost 53.000.000.000 US Dollars.

It is possible for the US to go on spending without taking care of its budget?

If nobody wants the US to pay back his debt Everything is Possible. If the US Citizens start to consume every country in the World will benefit because every country in the World wants to sell its products to the US.

Why don’t we give a lot of money to the Underdeveloped Countries too? Many people are starving to death.

He could do that too. Obama is the President of the US and the US is the biggest power in the World. He is able to do everything he wants to do and everybody will like his plan. If your are the President of the US you have to ACT BIG.

Why don’t we give everybody in the Whole World what they really want?

He could do this too. In a few years Everybody in the Whole Wide World will be Happy. This is really the Big Thing.

But wait.

The US is still the biggest Military Power in the World. The US is spending about $1 trillion per year to finance its Defense Budget. Obama wants to spend about $700 billion to boost the economy. When everybody is happy you don’t need an army. This would save $300 billion to help the poor people in the Word. If everybody is happy all the other countries don’t need an army too. This would save even more money. Making everybody in the World Happy is a good plan.

But wait.

If the US is not paying for an Army many people in the US and other countries will be out of work. It will also kill the Weapon Industry. They have to find another job. Perhaps they could find a job in Healthcare.

But wait.

If everybody is happy the amount of sick people will decrease. This will have an impact on the Pharmaceutical Industry and many other Industries. They have to find another job. Perhaps they could find a job in the Media.

But wait.

If everybody is happy the Media will lose jobs because Bad News is always Good News. They have to find another job. Perhaps they could find a job in Agriculture or Education.

But wait.

If people are happy they produce less children and we need the Children to give the Teachers something to do. We will need less food and if you work in Agriculture you don’t need much Education. They have to find another job.

Sorry. I will stop.

I don’t think it is a good plan to spend money to make everybody happy in the World. If everybody is happy the problems get bigger and bigger. I now understand why people are consuming. They are consuming because they are not happy. The US needs Enemies to keep the US Citizens Consuming.

But wait.

If the Enemies of the US are not happy they will ask the US to balance its budget. So someday Obama has to do something.

What?

Increase the Budget of the Army.

Good plan!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O_TjBNjc9Bo ( A Video about the future US Deficit).

How to get Very Rich during a Depression

The Kondratiev Wave predicts the long term behavior of the Economy. If you look at the Kondratiev Wave, the next stage after the Depression (Winter) is called Spring. Spring is the Time of the Seeds (new Ideas). They where harvested in Autumn. During the time of the Winter the seeds are dormant.

When the Harvest was rich, Winter is a time of Contemplation and Rest. Nature hibernates. Plants, Trees and many Animals sleep and are in the state of the Unconsciousness. When the Harvest was poor, Winter is a time of big trouble.

There will be shortages of Food and Fuel. When the Harvest was poor Winter is a time of Social Unrest and even Social Conflict. During the Kondratiev Winter Big Wars are fought and the Dark Side of the Unconscioussness shows itself in the extreme rise of Psychological Problems (Stress, Addictions, Paranoid) and Dark Religious Movements.

During Winter Shares, Paper money and other Imaginary forms of Wealth are worthless. When you want to buy something you have to deliver real value (Cash, Gold, Silver).

It is very clear that You can Make Big Money during a cold winter when you have gathered a huge pile of primary commodities (“raw materials”). During Winter raw materials are exchanged for other raw materials. When you don’t have access to these materials the only thing that is left for you is Charity.

When you are the owner of raw materials and you are making a lot of money you are Making Use of the Situation. During a cold winter you have to give to the poor and the sick. To make it very clear Making Big Money during a Depression is a Crime.

When you are Rich you can accumulate Social Value by giving away your Material Wealth to Others. During a Depression Material Wealth has to be transformed into Social Wealth to prevent a Social Conflict. This investment will pay back with a lot of social interest during Spring and Summer.

Unconditional Giving, Charity,  is a very old fashioned concept. At this moment we “give” a loan and we “ask”  interest but “giving and asking” are really “demanding”. We want to make sure that what we give will be returned in the same state. More Money for Money, an Two Eyes for an One Eye.

When we don’t want to deepen the down path of the Depression we have to leave behind the Behavior of the Expansion phase of the Cycle, Summer. When the Economy expands it is “easy” to accumulate Wealth. Loans and interest are helpful to bridge a temporary dip in the flow of cash. Summer is a time of fast moving Ups and Downs in the Economy (Recessions).

It is not strange that we are copying the behavior of the Summer. Long Term Cycles just like very fast moving Cycles are not noticed by the Human. They are generational. The pattern repeats every 50 to 60 year so the people that must be Aware of the current situation are Old. They are the grandmothers and the grandfathers, the older people (>75).

Moving through a Depression needs Wisdom and a Long Term View. A Depression is the time to Listen to the Older Generation. Hopefully they have Learned from their Mistakes at that time.

LINK

About the Kondratiev

About the Grand Chessboard of Zbigniew Machiavelli

I am afraid the big change of Obama will not change anything at all. It looks like the financial elite has placed a new pawn on the chessboard but the game and the players stay the same. The Geopolitical Players are defining a strategy to beat Russia and China.

Obama is surrounding himself with old fashioned politicians who are part of the old fashioned networks of the financial Elite. They are part of the famous World Conspiracy Groups like the Bilderberg Group, the Council of Foreign Relations and the Trilateral Commission.

Obama is announcing the old-fashioned New Deal of Franklin D. Roosevelt to save the US and will use the same money printing machine of the FED to finance his plan.

The big difference with the time of Roosevelt is that the US is completely broke and has to start to pay his debts. Obama is postponing this moment because he knows (and the Elite knows) that the US Citizens are not prepared to move back to a state of poverty.

To save and to create jobs Obama has to Protect the US Economy againts the outflow of jobs to the New Economies, China and India. The emerging state of economic protection will generate huge effects in the World. When the US starts to protect its market others will follow soon.

The big question is if every country in the world will support the new policy of the US. The United States is still befriended with the four oil-rich Gulf States.

The US has already asked them 300 billion dollars to prevent its financial meltdown. The US is still by far wasting the biggest amount biggest of energy in the world and the Arabs need the US to sell their oil.

The biggest adversaries of the US, China and Russia are united in what is called the Shanghai Cooperation. The cooperation is connected to India and Pakistan but also to countries like South Africa and Brazil (BRIC).

One of the important geo-political strategists of the US is Zbigniew Brzezinski. He was one of the advisors of Obama on foreign policy. Brzezinski was also National Security Adviser of President Carter, the creator of the Trilateral Commission and an Associate of Henry Kissinger.

A few citations: “…The last decade of the twentieth century has witnessed a tectonic shift in world affairs. For the first time ever, a non-Eurasian power has emerged not only as a key arbiter of Eurasian power relations but also as the world’s paramount power. The defeat and collapse of the Soviet Union was the final step in the rapid ascendance of a Western Hemisphere power, the United States, as the sole and, indeed, the first truly global power…”

About 75 per cent of the world’s people live in Eurasia, and most of the world’s physical wealth is there as well, both in its enterprises and underneath its soil. Eurasia accounts for 60 per cent of the world’s GNP and about three-fourths of the world’s known energy resources.””The most immediate task is to make certain that no state or combination of states gains the capacity to expel the United States from Eurasia.”

The strategy and tactics of Brzezinski and his colleagues (Kissinger) have inspired every government of the US until now. It becomes very clear why there is a war in Afghanistan and why Irak had to be destroyed. The aim is to create one dominant power that is controlling the World called the United States.

The power of the Sovjet Union was destroyed by Financial Warfare and Political Instability (Kosovo) generated by the US and its allies (including the Netherlands!).

The Sovjet Union has recovered and has restored its old fashioned control structure. It is has started a new expansion strategy and slowly moving to the West. Putin knows that NATO is unable to resist his policy because the focus of NATO is in the East.

Putin also knows that the West (especiallyGermany) needs his huge resouces of oil and gaz. He knows that the Pipelines are the most strategic tools to manipulate the EG.

He also knows that Germany is deep within not an Adversary but a Companion. The only thing he has to do is break the EG. This will happen soon because of the big internal differences between the Rich and the Poor Countries.

China has become one of the most powerful nations in the World. An alliance between the two (and with Germany the tree) old fashioned adversaries of the US is a super treat for the dominance of the West.

It is very clear that the US is losing its strategic positions in every part of the world except the Middle East. In this area Iran is the most important adversary and it is very clear why the US together with its ally Israel is trying to play the same trick it used with Irak to start a new war.

What will happen?

The CIA will go on with its destabilization programs. They will create new enemys of the West to justify military activity (Afghanistan). Military activity always helps to stimulate the economy and keeps the focus of the citizens away from the real game.

Financial Warfare has proven to be a very effective tactic. The activities of the FED will be aimed at destabilizing China. Russia is already in trouble. The closure of the US Economy will stop the economic explosion of China. The only thing that is left for the BRIC-countries is to create an internal market and a common currency. Other countries in the world have to make a choice. Will they follow the leadership of the US or join the still growing economies of BRIC. In the End the Old fashioned Cold War between the US and the Communists (Russia/China/India,…) will start again.

The last and the most helpful activity to destroy the enemies and to speed up the economy will be an old fashioned (Third) World War. The battlefield of this war has to be far away from the US to avoid “nasty” consequences. Eastern Europe (Germany, Poland, …) is by far the best place to act. You have to do this without disturbing the relationship with EU. This is simple.

The big trouble is that Germany and Russia have already negociated a secret treaty. They have divided Europe into two territories that have a lot in common with the famous Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact between Hilter and Stalin. The only thing Germany has to do is to break the EG into two parts.  This will generate a high tension between the old adversaries Germany and France.  

The EU will be in big trouble because of the economic crisis and every country will act on its own as soon as the weak countries (Spain, Greece, Portugal, Eastern Europe) really get into trouble. They will protect their economies and this will destabilize the European Union. The only thing you have to do to is to tease the Russians. They just want to be respected as a Super Power. Isolate them and show them that they are a powerless nation and they will become terribly angry.

The geopolitical players and followers of Machiavelli (Kissinger, Brzezinski, Poetin) don’t care about human lifes. They don’t care about democracy. Their only aim is to stay in power and to increase their power.

Machiavelli became famous by his book the Prince. It is a political cookbook for politicians to stay in power. The most important lesson is deceit. The politician has to show all the positive qualities needed to be loved by the people. He has to be merciful, faithful, humane, frank, and religious, but he should only seem to have these qualities.

A politician cannot truly have these qualities because at times it is necessary to act against them. The only ethic that matters is one that is beneficial to the politician in dealing with the concerns of his state. If his country wants a redeemer he has to look like a redeemer but behind the scene everything is allowed. You have to admit Obama is a great Actor and the Role of the Redeemer fits him well.

To defeat your opponents you have to commit them to your cause. If you are blamed. They are blamed also. The best way to beat the Clintons is to make them your partner. Hillary understands and practiced Machiavelli.

Introducing change is the most stupid thing you can do. You have to make everybody believe that the old is new. Everybody believes the New Deal was succesful and Roosevelt was a succesful president. So why not copy his scenario and (re)play his role.

`We must bear in mind, then, that there is nothing more difficult and dangerous, or more doubtful of success, than an attempt to introduce a new order of things in any state. For the innovator has for enemies all those who derived advantages from the old order of things, whilst those who expect to be benefited by the new institutions will be but lukewarm defenders. This indifference arises in part from fear of their adversaries who were favoured by the existing laws, and partly from the incredulity of men who have no faith in anything new that is not the result of well-established experience. Hence it is that, whenever the opponents of the new order of things have the opportunity to attack it, they will do it with the zeal of partisans, whilst the others defend it but feebly, so that it is dangerous to rely upon the latter.”

When his Power is at stake the Prince has to start a war.

A PRINCE ought to have no other aim or thought, nor select anything else for his study, than war and its rules and discipline; for this is the sole art that belongs to him who rules, and it is of such force that it not only upholds those who are born princes, but it often enables men to rise from a private station to that rank. And, on the contrary, it is seen that when princes have thought more of ease than of arms they have lost their states. And the first cause of your losing it is to neglect this art; and what enables you to acquire a state is to be master of the art“.

The big problem are mercenaries. To fight a war you need warriors who are dedicated to You and Nobody Else. Always please the Military Elite.

He who holds his State by means of mercenary troops can never be solidly or securely seated. For such troops are disunited, ambitious, insubordinate, treacherous, insolent among friends, cowardly before foes, and without fear of God or faith with man. Whenever they are attacked defeat follows; so that in peace you are plundered by them, in war by your enemies. And this because they have no tie or motive to keep them in the field beyond their paltry pay

When you want to fight a war fight a war with people who are not thinking in terms of strategy. The Chinese are highly stategic. They practise the Art of War of Sun Tzu. When you apply Sun Tzu you never fight a war. You exhaust your opponent. The best way to create a war is to tease your opponent to destroy himself.

My advice

If the current pattern is sustained my advice would be to find a hiding place. This hiding place has to be outside the area of the big earthquakes. It also has to be rather close to the equator because we will soon experience a new Ice Age. You have to be able to grow your own food so you need seeds and soil. Avoid the contaminated area’s in the world. The last thing is to avoid the battle ground of the last big war (Germany, Poland, Sweden).

How about Spain or Portugal?

Of course I could be wrong. Perhaps he is the real redeemer and I am deceiting myself because I don’t believe in honest politicians anymore. The best thing to do not to wait and see but to Act. The Citizens of the World don’t need big government to get into action. Creating networks is simple and everything you need is somewhere already available (even money). It is all about making the right connection!

LINKS

About Financial Warfare

About the FED Conspiracy

 The Grand Chessboard — American Primacy And It’s Geostrategic Imperatives,” Zbigniew Brzezinski, Basic Books, 1997

The text of the Prince of Machiavelli

Why the Russians always win a war

About the coming Ice Age

Featured

About Financial Warfare

Banking originates around 3000 BC in Babylonia out of the activities of temples and palaces which provided safe places for the storage of valuables. Initially deposits of grain are accepted and later other goods including cattle, agricultural implements, and precious metals.

In a later stage Silver and Gold were used to pay. From that time on Silver and Gold became weapons of war and a good reason to fight a war.

By 700 BC, the Lydians became the first in the Western world to make coins. Countries were soon minting their own series of coins with specific values. Some of the earliest known paper money dates back to China, where the issue of paper money became common from about AD 960 onwards.

Paper currency and non-precious coinage was backed by a government or bank’s promise to exchange it for a certain amount of silver or gold.

The last innovation in Money is called Fiat-Money. In this case the currency is not backed by anything but the promise of a country to enforce payment. Fiat-Money is the ultimate money generator. Governments are able to create infinite amounts of value without any guarantee.

 

The only guarantee is the performance of the economic system of the Country itself and the Power of the Government to force their citizens to pay the neccesary taxes. The Fiat-System has created an enormous amount of hyperinflated countries.

The US is one of the countries where paying taxes is seen as a sin. The only way to gurantee the Fiat Money is to generate a high level of inflation and/or a tremendous debt. At this moment the US is the biggest debtor in the world and it is not capable to pay his debts. The US is completely broke.

The US Fiat-System is the real cause of the current wordwide crisis. If this problem is not solved in due time all economic activity in the World will come to an end.

We will experience the same situation that existed in Germany between the two world wars (the Weimar Republic) and in many other countries were the value of money became hyperinflated. As you will see later the US Government is not able to control their own money supply.

Thomas Jefferson the third President of the US knew what would happen when the Fiat-System would be introduced in the US. This was his warning:

I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies. If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation, then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around [the banks]… will deprive the people of all property until their children wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered. …The issuing power should be taken from the banks and restored to the people, to whom it properly belongs“.

The most important practice to cheat with coins was to alter the quality or the quantity of the precious metals by reducing the weight, mixing precious metals with other metals and/or covering cheap metals with precious metals.

When paper money was introduced it became much easier to cheat. Paper Notes were copied and the kings and governments started to play with the stock of gold and silver that was needed to back the paper notes.

The precious metals also became a very important instrument of warfare. When the amount of precious metals went down the Kings were unable to pay their soldiers and had to stop fighting. Another tactic was to generate inflation or deflation. The economy of the enemy could be destroyed by influencing the economic cycle by manipulating the amount of precious metals or banknotes.

Financial manipulation or Financial Warfare on every scale is as old as the civilized world.

 Every country in the world is protecting its economy by intervening in the global currency market, the Foreign Exchange Market (FOREX). These interventions are performed by the Central Banks. Most of the Central Banks are controlled by Government. An exception is the US FED.

At this moment there are three groups of Central Banks, The US (Federal Reserve), The European Union (including the UK) and what I would call the China-connection. This last group contains Brasil, Russia, India (BRIC), and many more rising economies like Indonesia, South Africa and Turkey. The China Connection is becoming one of the most powerful groups.

The first central bank of Europe was created by the Knight Templars. The medieval European Knight Templar were a medieval military and religious Order which officially came to a controversial and mysterious end on Friday, 13 October 1307 when the Roman Catholic Church closed them down, accusing their leaders of heresy and strange religious beliefs.

During the era of the Crusades the Templars possessed a huge multi-national empire, and until their demise they were arguably the most powerful organization on Earth. According to popular theory, the Templars went underground and formed the secret society of the Freemasons to preserve their secret tradition.

There is evidence that the Templars were the carriers of old mystical knowlegde related to the Gnostics. This was perhaps the real reason why they were destroyed by the Roman Church who did not like the Gnostic (Kadištu) Believe System.

The Knight Templar ran probably the best known early prototype of a central banking system, as their promises to pay were widely regarded, and many regard their activities as having laid the basis for the modern banking system. By 1200 they were in effect bankers to the kings of England and France. They became so powerful that they had to be distroyed.

The oldest central bank in the world is the Riksbank in Sweden, which was opened in 1668 with help from Dutch businessmen. This was followed in 1694 by the Bank of England at the request of the government to help pay for a war.

The US Federal Reserve (FED) was created by the US Congress through the passing of the Glass Owen-Bill, signed by President Woodrow Wilson on December 23, 1913.

The history of the FED reads like a detective story. Eustace Mullins spend almost his whole life to find out what is really happening behind the closed doors of the FED. His book was never published. That’s why it is now available for free on the Internet. It shows how the Financial Elite of the US manipulated the citizens and representatives of the US to accept the Glass Owen-Bill. My advice: Read it!

The most important fact you have to know is that the FED is not an independent bank controlled by government. It is controlled by the big banks of the US and behind the big banks of the US is a powerful elite. This Elite created and sustained the Great Depression. It also supported the Klu Klux Clan and the Fascists regimes of Germany and Italy. The most important power behind them was the House of Rotchild situated in London. The old Financial Elite never lost its power.

If you search on the Internet you will find that Free Masons, The House of Rotchild and the Knight Templar are combined into a huge conspiracy theory that even goes back in history to the Annunaki of Sumer (The Serpents). I don’t think the Knight Templar and the Free Masons are part of this conspiracy.

I do believe the conspiracy (if it exists) has something to do with the Annunaki and their Ancestors. The Annunaki were experts in deceiving people and keeping control over them. They “hated” the Female Power and changed many myths that showed that this Power could create a Paradise if we wanted it. Their very long term plan was to obtain control over the World. It looks like they are succeeding. There all kind of conspiracy theories that are trying to prove that important “blood-lines” of the Elite are related to the Annunaki.

According to many Myths (Hopi, Gnostics) the “good ones”, the Life-Designers, the Kadištut, that are trying to help mankind are related to the Pleiades. The Pleiadians don’t want to interfere because interference in another civilization is forbidden. We have to ask them for help.

The theory of Historical Cycles of Inflation and Deflation is a Very Old Theory. It was known by the Old Chinese Emperors and the Egyptian Pharaohs.

The theory behind Financial Manipulation and Financial Warfare is also a very old theory. It was practiced by all the old Kings. They knew that the control of the foundation of the Money System was crucial to stay in Power. They also knew that they could win a war by destroying the financial center of their enemies.

So everybody knows that when a small Elite in a huge Country has the power to issue money they are able to control the World. Everybody knows it is very difficult not to misuse a tremendous power (“absolute power corrupts absolutely”). That is why the Control of the Creation of Money has always been a central issue in many conflicts. In a democratic country this power is controlled by Government and Parliament.

The original members of the FED created and sustained the Great Depression. They must have been aware of the fact that they were destroying the economic system at that time. After the Great Depression they owned many companies and were in control of the media. This proves they knew how to make use of a chaotic, volatile, economic system.

The current members of the FED have created a new Great Depression. They were and are throwing trillions of dollars into the system increasing the debt of the US to a level never been seen. It will destroy the US Dollar and generate hyper-inflation. History shows that each time governments printed money in the past, the consequence was sky-high inflation.

The consequence is that the coming years, the prices of energy, food and metals will go through the roof. The US Citizen will become very poor but some people, the Elite, will get richer. The Story of the Great Depression is repeating itself and the strange thing is that everybody knew and knows why this is happening. Does that prove the Conspiracy Theories?

The new Depression will almost certainly lead to World Government. It is the only way to go they claim to stop the Depression. All the structures to enforce World Government are already in place and most of them are already in control of the Financial Elite. Does this prove the Conspiracy Theories?

The big question is if the “Chinese-connection” will accept this. If not we will see a huge conflict in the near future. It will certainly start with a “financial” attack. The Chinese could wreck the US Economy by disconnecting the Yuan from the Dollar and/or sell their $2 trillion worth of treasury bonds. You see Financial Warfare is easy and you don’t need very destructive weapons to do it. Will this lead to World War III?, also a prediction of the Conspiracy Theories.

At this moment many strange and unpredictable interventions can be seen related to the Dollar vs the Euro. The Dollar is rising steadily. The rise of the Dollar has nothing to do with the real value of the Dollar. The Dollar is related to the US Economy and this economy is going down and the backing of the Dollar is not there. The US Debt is gigantic and wil rise.

The effect of the rising dollar is positive for the export of the EU to the US. This will have a negative effect on the US Economy. The most interesting effect will come when the Dollar suddenly will move back to its original value. This will generate a new crisis within the European Banking System and of course the EU Economy. Is somebody planning a financial attack on the EU??

To prove the conspiracy we have to see who will be the owner of the most important companies and media after the crisis has stopped (if it can be stopped). If a certain group has taken over a lot of companies we will know that they have done it again. If we have finally proved the conspiracy theories we will be too late.

The proof of the pudding is always in the eating. When you read this article of the New York Times you will see that the big “take-over” has already started. The Big Banks are not using the money of the Government at all to help their poor customers. They are using it to buy other “small” banks. If you read the article in the NY Times the strategy becomes very clear. They, the Elite, want to create three colossal global financial giants—Citigroup, JP MorganChase and, of course, Paulson’s own Goldman Sachs.

Why are they creating these entities? The first reason is of course that it is much easier for a cartel to manage three parts. The second reason is that this cartel will be one of the richest and powerful kartels in the world.

What could be the aim? The aim could be to destroy their European and other Wordwide Competitors. They will be helped by their friends of the world’s largest financial credit rating agencies—Moody’s and Standard & Poors end will be able to use the biggest Economy in the World to do this. It will create a “little bit of a problem to some of the poor citizins” of the US during the time of the depression but in the long term they all will profit in some way because the Power of the US will be completely restored. The US will finally rule the World.

The big question is if the citizens of the US (and other Western Countries) will accept this to happen. If they accept it we will know for certain that the Mind Control Systems, also a part of the Big Conspiracy, have done their work properly.

 

History is repeating itself but on a much larger scale. If the Annunaki exist they will be very proud about what it is happening. Finally they will be the Masters of a devasteted World called Earth.

Do you believe in the Conspiracy Theory?

I really don’t want to believe the Theory. I don’t want to become a paranoid. Is there any Light at the end of the Tunnel? Obama? It certainly is Time for a Change! Will he succeed to stop the power of the FED? If he leaves them in power we will know for sure he is “one of them” or he is very afraid to stop them.

Why? One of the interesting stories behind the Conspiracy Theories is the fact that the Presidents (Kennedy, Lincoln) who wanted to change the center of the Financial System, The FED, were assassinated.

LINKS

A History of Money

 

Why Fiat Money has created the current Crisis

 

About the FED and the Assassination of John F. Kennedy

 

About Financial Warfare

 

 About Financial Warfare

About Mind Control

About Mind Control

 

About Mind Control

How China could wreck the US Economy

About The US Financial Conspiracy against China

How the Financial Elite created the Great Depression

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

About the Union of Socialistic States of America

Government is Nationalizing the Banking Industry. This is just what Karl Marx wanted to do after the Proletariat had taken over Society. Is the US becoming a Communistic State?

When the Economy is Going Up Investors take on Risk. They start to Lend. The longer the Economy is going Up the more risk they take the more they lend until they’ve taken too much.

Eventually, they reach a point where the cash generated by their assets no longer is sufficient to pay off the mountains of debt they took on to acquire them. When this Happens we are at the Turning Point. From that time on the Economy is going Down.

The big problem is that you have to Pay Back the money you Lend with Interest. To Pay Back you have to Earn money. When the Economy is going Down you will earn less money so why should you lend money even when the interest rates are low?

When you expect that your income will go down you will reduce your spending behavior. You will certainly not lend money and the bank will not lend you money either because the banks want to be sure that you will be able to pay back the money and the interest. The Recession will deepen.

When Everybody Expects the Economy will move into a Recession the Economy will move into a Recession.

What You Expect to Happen will Happen.

The Central Banks are not only telling to watch out for a Deep Recession. They are telling we are moving into a Worldwide Recession. This is a completely new phenomenon.

When people believe a recession is near many of them will start to build up an emergency fund. The amount of money in the emergency funds will rise but to make money you have to invest money in something. Most of the time a part of the World is going Up and the other part is going Down. You just have to move your money to the place Where The Action is.

When the whole World is going into a recession nobody knows where to invest money.

We are not only encountering a Worldwide Recession, we are also encountering a “burn-out” of the Worldwide Financial Infrastructure. When you have created an Emergency Fund and the World Economy is going down and the Banking System is failing you really don’t know where to go.

The underlying assumption of all these models is the Power of the Market. The only thing Government has to do is to create the conditions and after some time the Market will restore itself.

Government is lending money for a very low price to the Financial Companies and they will propagate this advantage to their customers. The Customers will start to spend and the Economy will rise again but the Financial Institutions don’t propagate the advantage.

They add a Risk Premium to Save Money for Customers who are not able to Pay Back the Money. When Everybody believes the Whole World is Going Down this premium will be very high.

In essence Banks are Brokers. They have been very successful in bringing two parties (the Savers and the Spenders) together. The savers and the spenders are the Customers of the Bank. They are also the Customers of Government.

Why is Government helping the Financial Institutions and not the Customers of the Financial Institutions?

They believe the Market is able to recover by itself.

Why is the Market not able to recover?

The Market is an Illusion, a Theoretical Construction. The Market consists of Humans. When Humans believe a Theory (a Believe) they will act according to this Believe. If the Market will recover they will Wait until the Market will recover. If everybody Waits nobody Acts. Not-Acting leads to a Recession.

What is wrong with Economic Theory?

The Scientists believe Humans are Rational Beings but Humans are Emotional Beings. Most Humans are doing what other Humans are doing. When they don’t know what to do they just wait until the Markey recovers. The Fear of Losing drives Human Behavior. When this Fear Takes over Control Humans Act without Thinking. They Sell Everything they have to avoid a Higher Loss.

In essence the Government is confirming all the time that we are heading to a Huge Crisis. When we go on the way we are going the Crisis will be the Most Spectular Crisis the World has Ever Seen. The World Economy will come to a complete standstill.

Why is Government not Acting as a Broker?

This could be a simple solution. Just put Your Money where the Action is and the Action in Society is performed by Entrepreneurs. Entrepeneurs are very different from Investors. Investors invest their money in Entrepeneurs. Entrepeneurs Act. They put Ideas into Practice.

Entrepeneurs are Practical people. They know that You have to Earn Money to Invest Money. Their big problem is the Cash Flow. Their Customers have to pay their bills. When Customers don’t pay their Bills they need the Support of a Bank. When Entrepeneurs want to lend money to balance their cash-flows lend money to Entrepeneurs directly.

When Customers want to lend money to pay their Bills lend them the money they really need. You don’t need Banks to do this.

Every Economic Scientist is agreeing on point. Small businesses are the Pillar of the Economy.

There are many reasons why Small Businesses are the Motor of the Economy. The owners are responsible for their own actions. They get broke when their Business Fails. In Big Business You are able to spend or waist money without any consequence. You even get money when you fail. When you own a Small Business you are unable to create big Staff Departments. Big Staff Departments waist money and play Political Games. Small Businesses are the most effective and efficient Economic Instruments. They are also the Source of Innovation.

Why is Government not Supporting Small Businesses?

Government always supported Small Businesses until the Big Malls and the Big Companies were created. The Big Companies are paying a Lot of Money to influence the Politicians. Politicians were able to make big money when they started to do what the Lobbyist were telling them to do. It is time we get rid of Politicians who only want to make big money. To be a Politician is an Honor. You are serving the Whole and not Yourself.

Is US Government doing what Karl Marx wanted to do?

This is the most interesting point. According to Karl Marx, the first action after the take over of the Proletariat would be to Nationalize Banks. There are more parallels with the USSR. The USSR Controlled and Manipulated the Media, Gathered a Lot of Data about his Citizens, Spend a lot of money to Build and Maintain an Army, Occupied many Countries, Created an Elite (The Communist Party) and controlled the State with a huge Almighty Secret Service.

Are we finally moving to the Union of Socialistic States of America (the USSA)? or even worse to World Government.

LINKS

The vision of Karl Marx

About the Broker State and Small Business

About Sibel Edmonds or How US Intelligence is Stimulating a War in Central Asia

Sibel Edmonds was hired, as a contractor, to work as an interpreter in the translations unit of the FBI on September 2001. She reported various incidents of misconduct and incompetence to her superiors. She was fired on March 22, 2002. she was fired for whistle-blowing. Sibel Edmonds not only discovered incompetence she also discovered interesting facts about covert operations of the US Intelligence in Central Asia.

After the fall of the Soviet Union, the super powers began to fight over control of Central Asia, particularly the oil and gas wealth, as well as the strategic value of the region.

Given the history, and the distrust of the West, the US realized that it couldn’t get direct control. This started more than a decade-long illegal, covert operation in Central Asia using Turkish operatives, Saudi partners and Pakistani allies.

The US Intelligence (CIA) stimulated Radical Islam Movements in East Asia. They were sponsoring the Taliban and al Qaeda. The US Army and his allies (including The Netherlands) are fighting enemies they have created themselves.

The funding of the operations comes out of narcotics trafficking, selling nuclear arms. smuggling weapons and terrorist activities. The US sponsored network manages the heroin industry from the farms in Afghanistan to the streets of London.

The network protects the convoys from Afghanistan through Central Asia to their final destination and they coordinate the laundering of the billions of dollars in Central Asian casinos and financial institutions in Dubai and Cyprus.

The Dutch Government is sending soldiers to Afghanistan to fight the Taliban. The Taliban are paid by the profits that come out of the trade of narcotics, weapons and nuclear arms. The US is still a trusted ally of the Dutch Government. Many people believe there is a hidden agenda but the Government is constantly denying this.

The Dutch Government is copying the behavior of their big Ally. They are suggesting a Noble Cause but everybody knows it all has to do with Power Relations and Economic Policy. The Dutch Government is constantly trying to explain to Dutch Parliament and the public why the war in Afghanistan is so important. To extend the presence in Afghanistan they almost had to force the members of parliament of the three parties in government.

For some reasons the people in parliament, the citizens and the press don’t know or just don’t want to know what is behind Afghanistan. They know about these issues or simply don’t want to believe these things are happening because they are simply absurd. They cannot believe that their ally, a democratic state, is doing all these things.

The case of Sibel Edmons started with an incompetent manager of the translation bureau of the FBI. Many of the translators were unable to translate the information they were receiving.

The manager of the bureau was not only lying to his managers about the competence of his staff, he was also trying to get more personnel by preventing Sibel Edmons to do her work. He destroyed her work to show his manager that he needed more personnel. When you are the manager of more personnel you are getting more status and more salary.

When Sibel Edmons just tried to tell her superiors that she was blocked to do her work she was fired. She was trying to help her country by showing Integrity and Courage. She was blowing a whistle and used the right procedures to blow her whistle.

Now she is very angry about her country and she is getting support of other people in the FBI and the CIA who are fed up with the constant manipulation behind the scene. To help them Sibel Edmons created the National Security Whistleblowers Coalition.

The US is not the only country where the top management is hiding the incompetence and secret manipulations of their managers. In the Netherlands the same things are happening. They are happening in every highly bureaucratic organization and the Army is certainly one of them.

To move up in a bureaucratic organization you have to please your boss and to please your boss you have to hide the mistakes you are making. A bureaucratic organization is a perfect organization. It is managed by Paper and Procedures. The procedures are not created to manage; they are created to veil reality.

Behind the paperwork a power centre is controlling the organization. Everybody in this power centre knows something about the others. They are committed to each other by the crimes they share. It always starts with a fatal mistake but the cover up that is needed to hide the fatal mistake is a crime. When you have committed one crime the next crime is easier.

Naïve people believe bureaucratic organizations are perfect. They are telling and believing the stories that are told. The power network is using them to do the dirty jobs. Sometimes they wake up and see reality. Many of them are afraid to tell the truth. They fear to lose their pensions or are unable to get a better job.

Others accept the manipulations as a fact of life. They know that politics is really dirty business. They know that to manipulate you need intelligence and counter-intelligence.

They know that to keep the silent majority silent you have to tell the story they want to hear. They know that realistic politics is a game and to win the game to have to deceit. They know that whistleblowers are easily blocked and persecuted.

They keep their mouths shut and wait for the final moment, their retirement, when they are free to do what they really want to do.

When even one American — who has done nothing wrong — is forced by fear to shut his mind and close his mouth, then all Americans are in peril.” Harry S. Truman

Sibel Edmons made one fatal mistake. She believed that Government was created to serve the country. She believed she was helping government by telling the truth. Now she has left government and is doing a much better job. She is trying to stop something Harry Truman feared the most.

LINKS

More about Sibel Edmonds

How the US created the Taliban

 More about Sibel Edmonds

About the Real Reason Why The US is in Iraq

More about Sibel Edmons

More about Sibel Edmons

A documentary about Sibel Edmons, Canal +, France

About the National Security Whistleblowers Coalition

A Defence Whistleblower in the Netherlands

Why The US has to be Nice, The EU has to Retaliate and the Underdeveloped Countries have to Forgive

The Bretton Wood agreement was created in 1947 to prevent that nations use their currencies to obtain an unfair advantage.

This was the main cause of World War I en II. The countries were obliged to adopt a monetary policy that maintained the exchange rates of its currency within a fixed value.

President Nixon broke up the Bretton Woods international monetary system on Aug. 15, 1971. The US was unable to keep its finances stable because of the costs of the Vietnam War. Nixon destroyed the Foundation of the World Financial System, the Dollar.

In 1992 the exchange rates of the member states of the EU were fixed. The Euro, a new financial foundation, was born. At this moment the Dollar is not the foundation currency of the world anymore. This position is taken over by the Euro. The EU (and other countries) are paying a high price for the Economic Policy of the US. They are paying the bills of the biggest Debtor in the World.

Many US Citizens are moving into a state of panic. Not only Real Estate and Banks are in big troube. Other highly respected industrial companies like General Motors, Ford and Chrysler are close to a bankruptcy. The Entertainment Business is also on its retreat.

The Big Casino’s are losing their customers and companies like Walt Disney, CBS and Time Warner are getting in trouble. The situation of US Big Companies is so bad that Warrren Buffett, the most succesfull investor in the World, is moving his investments to Europe. He is mainly interested in family-owned companies in Germany.

The FED is unable to lower the Interest Rates. The effective interest is already negative. When they higher the rates the economy will drop into a spectacular recession. Their only hope is a Little Help from their Friends but the amount of Friends of the US is decreasing.

Finally the Climate Issue is proving itself in many ways. The Amount of Natural Disasters (Flooding, Hurricanes) is increasing. The only thing that is still not happening is a major Big Bang Earthquake.

The US Regulators (FED) are trying to stop the Recession by Lowering the Interest Rates. The FED is helping the Banking Industry to recover from the Credit Crunch but it is not helping the rest of the economy at all. The EU Regulators are trying to stop Inflation. They are doing exactly the opposite the US is doing.

Lower interest rates push down the value of the dollar. This prompts the oil-producing countries to push for higher oil prices.

The rising prices of oil and other commodities are also a result of a Rising of the economy in India, China, Russia and other countries. A small part of the World is Going Down and a big part of the world is Going Up. The total effect of this process is a growing demand and a growing demand simply increases the prices.

The growing demand has a huge effect on the World Climate. The rising economies are polluting the environment and the decreasing economies (especially the US) have polluted Earth for a long time already. The Underdeveloped Countries are just doing what the West was doing all the time. The huge change of the World Climate will eventually hit all the economies of the World.

The World is caught in a State of Catch22. Every course of action that is chosen ends in the long term in a Global Disaster.

In reality the World is changing on many levels. We are trying to stop this change. We are unable to do this because we are unable to find a Global Win-Win-situation. To find a Global Win-Win-situation we have to Change Something on Every Level All over the World.

The Western World is not accustomed to a Way Down. It believes Everything will go UP all the time. A Recession is a temporary state down between to rising states.

The Eastern World has a completely different World View. They believe the World is governed by Cycles. We have to accept the process of UP and Down because it is the Will of God. The Eastern world believes in Destiny. Eastern people are not afraid to die. Western people fear death.

In the Western World a Human is the Centre of the Universe. In the Eastern World the Human is a Part of a Whole. The Whole is much more important than the Individual. Western Democracy is trying to Unite Individuals. In the Eastern Culture it is much easier to Move the Masses.

The population in the Western World is decreasing. The population in the rest of the World is increasing. The Culture of the Eastern World will simply take over the World just by the numbers. They are the Majority and their Majority will grow. If the World would be an immense democracy The West would be without any power. The Democratic Party of the East would win every Election.

The only way for the West to stay in power is to use military technology. The US is already doing this and it is not helping us and the US at all. The fight againgst Terrorism is seen as a fight against the people of the Underdeveloped Countries. When you are hungry you do everything to get food. When your family is killed you fight back and kill the enemy. For many people in the World it is very clear that the West is the real Enemy.

If we look at the Strategy of the Financial Regulators we can see that the US Financial Regulators are Nice to the Banks and the EU Financial Regulators are Retaliating. The US Regulators are hoping the actors (mainly the Banks) in the US will start to cooperate. The EU Regulators are defecting the same Actors. Both of them are very Clear about what they want to accomplish. Both of them want to keep on moving UP.

This is for many reasons an impossible option. To keep the World in balance the West has to Go Down. His has to go Down in a controlled Action or it has to Go Down in a Forced Action. The West will be Forced by the East or it wil be Forced by Nature itself.

The Citizins of the West have be Informed about this Situation. They have to be Informed by Politicans, Writers, The Press and they have to Educate themselves. For many reasons Everybody is Hiding the News because in the West we only want to hear the Good News.

The Banks are controlling US Government and the FED is afraid to retaliate. They are afraid that the complete US Banking system will collapse.The situation is so bad that officials of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) have informed the FED about a plan that would have been unheard-of in the past: a general examination of the US financial system.

The IMF’s board of directors has ruled that a so-called Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) is to be carried out in the United States. It is nothing less than an X-ray of the entire US financial system. As part of the assessment, the Fed, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the major investment banks, mortgage banks and hedge funds will be asked to hand over confidential documents to the IMF team.

They will be required to answer the questions they are asked during interviews. Their databases will be subjected to so-called stress tests – worst-case scenarios designed to simulate the broader effects of failures of other major financial institutions or a continuing decline of the dollar.

The IMF is charged with the supervision of the international monetary system. Roughly two-thirds of IMF members – but never the United States – have already endured this painful procedure. For seven years, US President George W. Bush refused to allow the IMF to conduct its assessment. Even now, he has only given the IMF board his consent under one important condition. The review can begin in Bush’s last year in office, but it may not be completed until he has left the White House.

A Win-Win-situation is a state of a game called the Prisoners Dilemma. Life can be seen as a long chain of Prisoners Dilemma’s called an Iterated Prisoner’s Dilemma. The Iterated Prisonners Dilemma can be won when one of the prisoners is not aimed at long term cooperation. In this case he has to cheat the other prisonner and kill him to avoid revenge. If the prisonners need each other in the future another scenario is neccesary. This scenario is called Tit-for-Tat. 

Robert Axelrod (The Evolution of Cooperation (1985)) created a computer program called, “Tit-for-Tat“. The program always wins an Iterated Prisoner’s Dilemma by simply copying the behavior of the others.

Tit-for-Tat uses the following strategies:

  1. Be Nice. Start by cooperating, and never be the first to defect.
  2. Be Retaliatory. If the other player defects inflict a cost on him or her which is at least as severe – otherwise you open yourself to exploitation.
  3. Be Forgiving. If your opponent mends his ways after defecting, restore cooperation as quickly as possible, so that you can both get back to scoring highly on each round.
  4. Be Clear. Since there is no way to beat the Nice, Retaliatory and Forgiving strategy, if your opponent knows you are following it, there is no incentive for him or her to seek advantage – it will only destroy his or her score as well as yours.

Michael Liebreich applied the Tit-for-Tat strategy on the Climate Issue. He shows that we are able to solve the Climate issue when the players change their strategy. His advice is that the US needs to start being Nice, Europe needs to learn to Retaliate, and the developing world needs to Forgive. All players need to improve the Clarity with which they communicate their strategies.

At this moment the US Government is Nice to the Financial System that is braking down. It is not Nice to the rest of the World when the World Climate is at stake. The EU is still Nice to the US although the EU is paying for the braking of the US Financial System. The Developing Countries have to Forgive the US but it is very difficult to forgive somebody who is defecting the Game all the time. When you play Tit-for-Tat you have to retaliate in this stage.

When you define a Clear strategy you have to be Realistic. The world is on many levels highly unbalanced. Everybody knows that an unbalanced state will always move to a balanced state in due time. The West has to accept that the East is trying to move to the same State as the West. The West also has to accept that this is simply impossible. The Earth is incapable to provide the necessary Energy and Food. A Realistic Strategy is to Lower the West so the East is capable to Move Up.

In the West Politicians need Votes to stay in Power. To keep the majority of the Voters happy they have to Move UP the Economy. Almost nobody of the current leaders has the courage to tell the voters that the West is at the end of its cycle and has to move Down. We are taken by Destiny. The effect of the current Policy is a continuation of the Status Quo.

To move out of the Status Quo Politicians are looking for extreme certainty when they decide to change their policies. They need the backup of Scientists to show the voters that what they are Doing is the Right Thing to Do.

Science is unable to provide this certainty. The complexity of the Economic and the Ecological System of the Earth is so big that nobody is able to comprehend what is really happening and what will be the effect of a decision on the long term.

Prof. Mort Webster writes that climate policy decisions are normally made as sequential decisions over time under uncertainty – given the magnitude of uncertainty in both economic and scientific processes, the decades-to-centuries time scale of the phenomenon, and the ability to reduce uncertainty and revise decisions along the way.

Although staging climate change policy decisions over time would seem to make sense, he points out that the tendency of U.S. and international policy to change extremely slowly requires front-loading the painful decisions. Everybody knows we are moving in the wrong direction but nobody knows in detail what we have to do.

Webster shows that the best thing to do is to Prepare and Act for the Worst and change the policy for the Better in a later state. We have to take the bitter pill fast.

LINKS

About Stagflation

About the US Policy and Bretton Woods

About the effects of Bretton Woods